Math 521/522/523
Advanced Probability
Zhen-Qing Chen
Autumn/Winter/Spring 2006-2007, Monday/Wednesday/Friday, 11:30
Math 521/522/523 is a one-year graduate sequence on Probability
Theory. Topics will include:
Math 521
- Probability sample spaces, random variables, distribution functions
- Expectation and moments
- Independence
- Weak and strong laws of Large Numbers
- Weak convergence, characteristic functions
- Central Limit Theorems
- Poisson Approximation
- Infinitely Divisible and Stable Distributions
- Random Walks, stopping times, transience and recurrence
Math 522
- Martingales, almost sure convergence, Lp convergence,
backward martingales, optional stopping theorems
- Markov chains: Markov property, recurrence and transience, stationary
distribution, convergence theorem, Gibbs sampler, Metropolis algorithm, and
exact sampling with coupled Markov chains
- Birkoff's ergodic theorems
Math 523
- Brownian motions: construction and basic properties
- Skorokhod's theorem on embedding random walk into Brownian motion,
Central limit theorems for martingales and for dependent variables
- Empirical distributions and Brownian bridge
- Laws of the iterated logarithm for Brownian motion and random walks
with finite variance
- Topics on stochastic calculus and its application in mathematical finance.
Textbook:
Probability: Theory and Examples, 3rd Ed., Rick Durrett.
Additional reference: A Course in Probability Theory, 3rd ed. by
K. L. Chung, 2001.
Prerequisites: A knowledge of measure theory and Lebesgue
integration, such as covered in the Real Analysis course Math 524/5/6 or
Math 424/5/6. A brief review of measure theory will be given in Math 521.