Probability Seminar Archive
Time: Monday, May 19, 2008 at 2:30 pm.
Location: LOW 101
Speaker: Oded Schramm (Microsoft Research)
Title: Random metrics, the mathematics of quantum gravity `
Abstract: In quantum gravity, the geometry of space itself is random. One procedure to produce a random metric on a sphere is to fix some large $n$ and to take the uniform distribution over all isometry classes of topological spheres that can be obtained by pasting together side to side $n$ equilateral triangles of side-length $1$. These objects can be shown to be metrically $4$ dimensional in the large (though topologically they are $2$ dimensional). One mathematical reason for the interest in these random geometries stems from the KPZ formula, which is a prediction from physics linking random processes on random geometries to conformally invariant random processes in the plane. Amazingly, some questions turn out to be simpler in the random geometry setting, and the KPZ formula has been used to make very specific conjectures about random processes in the plane. Very recently, there has been a great deal of progress in the mathematical understanding of the random geometries. I plan to survey the subject.
Time: Monday, May 12, 2008 at 2:30 pm.
Location: LOW 101
Speaker: Peter Moerters (University of Bath)
Title: INTERSECTIONS OF RANDOM WALKS IN SUPERCRITICAL DIMENSIONS
Abstract: In high dimensions two independent simple random walks have only a finite number of intersections. In the talk I present recent progress on the problem of describing the exact upper tail behavior of random variables associated with the number of intersections.
Joint work with Xia Chen.
Time: Monday, May 5, 2008 at 2:30 pm.
Location: LOW 101
Speaker: Eyal Lubetzky (Microsoft Research)
Title: Glauber dynamics for the mean-field Ising model and cutoff in birth-and-death chains
Abstract: We study the Curie-Weiss model, i.e., Glauber dynamics for the Ising model on the complete graph on $n$ vertices. It is well-known that the mixing-time in the high temperature regime has order $n\log n$ [Aizenman and Holley (1984)], whereas the mixing-time in low temperatures is exponential in $n$ [Griffiths et al. (1966)]. Recently, Levin, Luczak and Peres proved that for any fixed high temperature there is cutoff, whereas the mixing-time at the critical temperature $\beta=1$ has order $n^{3/2}$. It is natural to ask how the mixing-time transitions from order $n\log n$ (with cutoff) to order $n^{3/2}$ and finally to $\exp\left(\Theta(n)\right)$.
In this work, we extend the results of Levin et al. into a complete characterization of the mixing-time of the dynamics as a continuous function of the temperature, as it approaches its critical point both from below and from above. The above transition between the three regimes appears in the form of a scaling window of order $1/\sqrt{n}$ around the critical temperature. Cutoff occurs only in the subcritical regime, where we determine the cutoff point and window. Furthermore, for each temperature we also determine the order of the spectral gap of the Glauber dynamics.
A key element in the proofs is the analysis of the magnetization chain (the sum of all spins), as it turns out that the mixing of this birth-and-death chain essentially dictates the mixing of entire dynamics. If time permits, I will also present a related general result on the criterion for total-variation cutoff in birth-and-death chains (analogous to the result on convergence in separation by [Diaconis and Saloff-Coste (2006)]).
This is joint work with J. Ding and Y. Peres.
Time: Monday, April 28, 2008 at 2:30 pm.
Location: LOW 101
Speaker: Yuval Peres (Microsoft Research)
Title: Compression exponents of amenable groups and escape rates of random walks
Abstract: Let G be a countable amenable group, equipped with a finite set of generators and a corresponding word metric $d(x,y)$. The Hilbert-space compression exponent $a_*$ of G is the supremum of all $a>0$ such that there exists a Lipschitz map $f$ from G to Hilbert space and a constant $c>0$ so that for all $x,y$ in G, the norm $||f(x)-f(y)||$ is at least $cd(x,y)^a.$ Let $b$ denote the escape rate exponent for simple random walk (X_t) on the Cayley graph of G, that is, suppose that $Ed(X_0,X_t)$ grows like $t^b$. We prove that $2ba_*$ is at most $1$, and equality holds in many cases. In particular for the lamplighter group on Z with integer-valued lamps we have a_*=2/3 and b=3/4. Our proof uses K. Ball's notion of Markov type. We also obtain extensions to $L^p$ compression via p-stable random walks. No prior knowledge of group theory will be assumed; all the relevant notions will be explained in the talk. (Joint work with Assaf Naor and Tim Austin).
Time: Monday, April 21, 2008 at 2:30 pm.
Location: LOW 101
Speaker: Chris Hoffman (University of Washington)
Title: DLA on a cylinder
Abstract: One probabilistic model that has proven notoriously difficult to analyze is diffusion-limited aggregation (DLA) in the plane. This model for the growth of a collection of particles in the plane develops as follows. Initially there is one particle at the origin. Inductively we add particles to the boundary. We start a new particle at infinity and have it perform simple random walk until it is adjacent to the collection. The that particle is added to the collection where it hit the boundary. In this talk we consider a closely related model on a cylinder which we hope will shed light on DLA in the plane. This is joint work with Itai Benjamini.
Time: Monday, April 14, 2008 at 2:30 pm.
Location: LOW 101
Speaker: Ping He (Shanghai University of Finance and Economics and UW)
Title: Excursions of reflecting Brownian motions on Lipschitz domains
Abstract: Since B. Maisonneuve (1975) established an exit system to characterize excursions in general framework, there has been a considerable body of work dealing with what is called the general theory of excursions of a Markov process. However such exit system does not possess analytical description in general. It needs for some application to give an explicit form. P. Hsu (1986) studied the excursions of reflecting Brownian motion on a bounded domain in Euclidean space with smooth boundary. The approach of his work was completely independent of the general theory. Applying to the smoothness of the boundary, the normal derivative for the boundary points which is the density of the Poisson measure with respect to the surface measure is well-defined.
This work is concerned with whether Hsu's elegant results on excursions from the smooth boundary can be extended to the Lipschitz boundary which is no longer smooth. For reflecting Brownian motion on the closure of a bounded Lipschitz domain at first, we take a Martin kernel as Poisson kernel with respect to a positive Radon measure on the boundary. We then investigate the excursions from the boundary straddling on a fixed time $t$ and give a beautiful application on the Feller measure. Based on the previous results, we give an explicit Levy system of the boundary process for the reflecting Brownian motion on Lipschitz domain.
Time: 2:30 p.m., Monday, April 7, 2008
Location: LOW 101
Speaker: Zhen-Qing Chen (University of Washington)
Title: A strong limit theorem for Dawson-Watanabe Superprocesses
Abstract: In this talk I will discuss some recent progress on scaling limit theorems for Dawson-Watanabe superprocesses. We will show that weak limit theorem can be established for a large class of superprocesses when the underlying spatial processes are symmetric Hunt processes. When the underling process is a symmetric diffusion with $C^1_b$-coefficients or a symmetric L\'evy process on $\R^d$ whose L\'evy exponent $\Psi (\eta )$ is bounded from below by $c |\eta|^\alpha$ for some $c>0$ and $\alpha \in (0, 2)$ when $|\eta|$ is large, a stronger almost sure limit theorem can be established for the superprocess. Our approach uses the principal eigenvalue and the ground state for some associated Schrodinger operator. The limit theorems are established under the assumption that an associated Schrodinger operator has a spectral gap.
Joint work with Yanxia Ren and Hao Wang.
Time: 2:30 p.m., Monday, March 10, 2008
Location: MEB 245
Speaker: Alexander E. Holroyd (University of British Columbia and Microsoft Research)
Title: SLOW CONVERGENCE IN BOOTSTRAP PERCOLATION
Abstract: Bootstrap percolation is a simple cellular automaton model for nucleation and growth. Sites in an $L$ by $L$ square are initially infected with probability $p$, and a healthy site becomes infected if it has at least 2 infected neighbors. Asymptotically for large $L$, the model is known to undergo a phase transition as the parameter $p \log L$ crosses the threshold $\pi^2/18$. However, simulation predictions for this threshold are typically smaller by more than a factor of two! I'll talk about some attempts to understand this discrepancy. The main result is that the asymptotic value differs from the actual threshold by at least $const/\sqrt{\log L}$. [In contrast, the critical window has width only $const/\log L$.] For a variant model we can prove that to get within 1\% of the asymptotic value, $L$ must be at least $10^{3000}$!
Joint work with Janko Gravner.
Time: 2:30 p.m., Monday, Monday, March 3, 2008
Location: MEB 245
Speaker: Ariel Yadin (Weizmann Institute of Science)
Title: THE MAXIMAL PROBABILITY THAT $k$-WISE INDEPENDENT BITS ARE ALL 1
Abstract: A distribution over n bits is called k-wise independent if any subset of k bits are independent. Such distributions arise in many areas in probability and computer science. For example, there is a fundamental connection with linear error-correcting codes.
We address the following question: how high can the probability that all the bits are 1 be, for such a distribution? For a wide range of the parameters n,k and p we find an explicit lower bound for this probability which matches an upper bound given by Benjamini et al., up to multiplicative factors of lower order. The question we investigate can be seen as a relaxation of a major open problem in error-correcting codes theory, namely, how large can a linear error correcting code with given parameters be? We use a new approach that does not use coding theory, and thus we are able to improve on previous lower bounds. The main tool we use is a bound controlling the change in the expectation of a polynomial after small perturbation of its zeros.
Joint work with Ron Peled and Amir Yehudayoff.
Time: 2:30 p.m., Friday, February 29, 2008
Location: LOW 102
Speaker: Tadeusz Kuilczycki (Wroclaw University of Technology)
Title: HOT SPOTS THEOREM FOR 2-DIMENSIONAL SLOSHING PROBLEM
Abstract: The sloshing problem is a linear eigenvalue problem that describes the small oscillations of the free surface of a fluid subject to gravity. The sloshing problem is a classical problem in fluid mechanics.
The 2 dimensional sloshing problem has the following physical interpretation. An infinitely long canal with uniform cross section is filled with inviscid heavy fluid (water). The fluid makes, under gravity, oscillations about the equilibrium position. We consider only 2 dimensional motion in planes normal to the generators of the canal bottom.
Let rectangular Cartesian coordinates $(x,y)$ be taken in the plane of the motion with the origin and the $x$-axis in the mean free surface, whereas the $y$-axis is directed upwards. The uniform cross section of the canal is a bounded simple connected domain $W \subset {\bf R} \times (-\infty,0)$, $\partial W = F \cup B$, where $F$, lying on the $x$-axis, is the free surface of the fluid and $B = \partial W \setminus F$, lying in the half plane $y < 0$, is the bottom of the canal. The velocity potential equals $\cos(\sigma_n t + c) u_n(x,y)$. $u_n$ satisfies the following boundary eigenvalue problem $$ \Delta u_n(x,y) = 0, \quad (x,y) \in W, $$ $$ {\partial u_n \over \partial y}(x,0) = - \nu_n u_n(x,0), \quad ( x,0) \in F, $$ $$ {\partial u_n \over \partial n}(x,y) = 0, \quad (x,y) \in B, $$ We have $\sigma_n^2 = \lambda_n g$, where $g$ is the gravitational acceleration. ${\partial\over \partial n}$ is the differentiation normal to $B$.
It is known that there exists a sequence of eigenvalues $$ 0 = \nu_0 < \nu_1 \le \nu_2 \ldots \to \infty. $$
The main result is the following theorem. {\bf Theorem} Let $W \subset F \times (-\infty,0)$ be a bounded convex domain and let $B$ be a smooth curve. Then the first nontrivial eigenfunction $u_1$ is (up to a sign) increasing on $F$, that is $x \to u_1(x,0)$ is increasing for $x \in F$. In particular $u_1$ achieves its minimum and maximum on the boundary of $F$.
The sloshing problem has also the probabilistic interpretation for the semigroup of the Cauchy-like process which is the trace on $F$ of the reflected Brownian motion in $W$.
Time: 2:30 p.m., Monday, February 25, 2008
Location: MEB 245
Speaker: Itai Benjamini (Weizmann Institute of Science)
Title: GEOMETRIC REINFORCEMENT
Abstract: We will discuss a few random processes with reinforcement, e.g., DLA.
Time: 2:30 p.m., Monday, February 11, 2008
Location: MEB 245
Speaker: Benjamin Weiss (Hebrew University of Jerusalem)
Title: FINITE OBSERVABILITY AND CLASSIFICATION OF ERGODIC PROCESSES
Abstract: A function $F$ defined on some class of stochastic processes $\cal C$ is finitely observable if there is some universal estimation scheme which when applied to longer and longer finite sequences of typical observations drawn from any process $X$ in the class will converge to $F(X)$. In ergodic theory one tries to classify processes up to isomorphism or finitary isomorphism. It turns out that for the class of all ergodic processes there is basically only finitely observable function which is also an isomorphism invariant. All of theses notions will be explained together with some further results and open questions.
Time: 2:30 p.m., Wednesday, February 6, 2008
Location: LOW 102
Speaker: Kaneharu Tsuchida (Tohoku University, Japan)
Title: LARGE DEVIATIONS FOR DISCONTINUOUS ADDITIVE FUNCTIONALS OF SYMMETRIC STABLE PROCESSES
Abstract: As a useful approach in proving the large deviation principle, the Gartner-Ellis theorem is well known. In this talk, we show the large deviation principle for discontinuous additive functionals of symmetric stable processes by applying this theorem. Joint work with Masayoshi Takeda.
Time: 2:30 p.m., Monday, February 4, 2008
Location: MEB 245
Speaker: Maxim Krikun (Institut Elie Cartan, Nancy)
Title: STATIONARY MEASURES FOR BALLISTIC ANNIHILATION WITH BRANCHING
Abstract: A basic model of ballistic annihilation consists of a system of particles in one-dimensional space, moving in either direction with constant speed and annihilating upon collision, so that eventually most of the particles disappear.
When branching is introduced into the picture, the system becomes stable and admits a non-trivial stationary measure. Also, the union of trajectories of all particles, seen as a subset of the plane, has some interesting properties.
This is a joint work with Serguei Popov (USP) and Philippe Chassaing and Lucas Gerin (IECN).
Please note the unusual time and location
Time: 2:30 p.m., Wednesday, January 23, 2008
Location: LOW 102
Speaker: Panki Kim (Seoul National University)
Title: BOUNDARY HARNACK PRINCIPLE FOR SUBORDINATE BROWNIAN MOTIONS
Abstract: The boundary Harnack principle for nonnegative classical harmonic functions is a very deep result in potential theory and has very important applications in probability and potential theory. In this talk, we discuss the boundary Harnack inequality for a large class of pure jump symmetric Levy processes, including mixtures of symmetric stable processes.
Time: 2:30 p.m., Monday, January 14, 2008
Location: MEB 245
Speaker: Gabor Pete (Microsoft Research)
Title: THE SCALING LIMITS OF DYNAMICAL AND NEAR-CRITICAL PERCOLATION AND THE MINIMAL SPANNING TREE
Abstract: Let each site of the triangular lattice, with small mesh $\eta$, have an independent Poisson clock with rate $\eta^{3/4+o(1)}$ switching between open and closed. Then, at any given moment, the configuration is just critical percolation; in particular, the probability of a left-right open crossing in the unit square is close to 1/2. Furthermore, because of the scaling, the expected number of switches in unit time between having a crossing or not is of unit order.
In joint work with Christophe Garban and Oded Schramm, we prove that the limit (as $\eta \to 0$) of the above process exists as a Markov process, and it is conformally covariant: if we change the domain with a conformal map $\phi(z)$, then time has to be scaled locally by $|\phi'(z)|^{3/4}$. The same proof yields a similar result for near-critical percolation, and it also shows that the scaling limit of (a version of) the Minimal Spanning Tree exists, it is invariant under rotations and scaling, but not under general conformal maps.
Time: 2:30 p.m., Monday, January 7, 2008
Location: MEB 245
Speaker: Asaf Nachmias (University of California, Berkeley)
Title: CRITICAL PERCOLATION ON FINITE GRAPH
Abstract: Bond percolation on a graph $G$ with parameter $p$ in [0,1] is the random subgraph $G_p$ of $G$ obtained by independently deleting each edge with probability $1-p$ and retaining it with probability $p$. For many graphs, the size of the largest component of $G_p$ exhibits a phase transition: it changes sharply from logarithmic to linear as p increases. When $G$ is the complete graph, this model is known as the Erdos-Renyi random graph: at the phase transition, i.e. $p=1/n$, the largest component satisfies a power-law of order $2/3$.
For which $d$-regular graphs does percolation with $p=1/(d-1)$ exhibit similar ``mean-field'' behavior? We show that this occurs for graphs where the probability of a non-backtracking random walk to return to its initial location behaves as it does on the complete graph. In particular, the celebrated Lubotzky-Phillips-Sarnak expander graphs and Cartesian products of 2 or 3 complete graphs exhibit mean-field behavior at $p=1/(d-1)$; surprisingly, a product of 4 complete graphs does not.
Please note the unusual time and location
Time: Wednesday, November 28, 2007 at 2:30 pm
Location: MOR 234
Speaker: Toshihiro Uemura (University of Connecticut and University of Hyogo, Japan)
Title: A remark on nonlocal operator
Abstract: Given a Levy kernel, then we reveal a connection between the nonlocal operator having it as Levy measure and the (symmetric) Dirichlet form having it as jumping measure. The relation is obtained through the carre du champ operator associated with the operator. We will show that this relation is quite different from the case of elliptic differential operators (diffusion processes)
Time: Monday November 19, 2007 at 2:30 pm
Location: THO 334
Speaker: Eyal Lubetzky (Microsoft Research)
Title: Poisson approximation for non-backtracking random walks
Abstract: Random walks have been applied extensively in theoretical Computer Science, with the important motivation that, under some natural conditions, these walks mix quickly and provide an efficient method of sampling the vertices of a graph. In some of these applications, it seems to be better to apply non-backtracking random walks, rather than simple ones.
In the first part of this talk, I will analyze the mixing rate of non-backtracking random walks on a regular graph. Using some properties of Chebyshev polynomials of the second kind, we show that this rate may indeed be up to twice as fast as the mixing rate of the simple random walk.
The second part of the talk will focus on an application illustrating the fact that non-backtracking walks exhibit stronger pseudo-random properties. We provide a Poisson approximation to the visits to vertices in non-backtracking random walks on expanders, and show that the multi-set of visited vertices is analogous to the result of throwing $n$ balls to $n$ bins uniformly, in contrast to the simple random walk on $G$, which almost surely visits some vertex $\Omega(\log n)$ times.
Based on joint works with Noga Alon, Itai Benjamini and Sasha Sodin.
Time: Friday November 2, 2007 at 2:30 pm
Location: EEB 026
Speaker: Ioana Dumitriu (University of Washington)
Title: Playing golf with many balls: Markov chains and Gittins indices
Abstract: I will analyze and solve a game in which a player chooses which of several Markov chains to advance, with the object of minimizing the expected cost (time) for one of the chains to reach a target state. The solution entails computing a variant of a Gittins index on the states of the individual chains, the minimization of which produces an optimal strategy.
This is older work with Prasad Tetali and Peter Winkler.
Time: Monday October 29, 2007 at 2:30 pm
Location: THO 334
Speaker: Krzysztof Burdzy (University of Washington)
Title: Branching Brownian motion, excursion theory, and potential analysis
Abstract: I will present an open question about a Fleming-Viot-type branching model for Brownian motion. Some progress has been made using excursion theory. Another technical aspect of the partial solution is based on a new type of the boundary Harnack principle.
Joint work with Mariusz Bieniek.
Time: Monday October 15, 2007 at 2:30 pm
Location: LOW 219
Speaker: Zhen-Qing Chen (University of Washington)
Title: Time Reversal and Elliptic Boundary Value Problems
Abstract: In this talk, we will present a new and probabilistic way to solve Dirichlet boundary value problem on bounded Euclidean domains for a class of second order elliptic operators that contain the $div (cu)$ term (dual to the first order term $c\nabla u$). The novelty of our approach is the use of time-reversal of a Girsanov transform. We will derive probabilistic representation for solutions to the elliptic boundary problem. Such a representation also enable us to obtain some new results in PDE.
Joint work with Tusheng Zhang.
Time: Wednesday, May 30, 2007 at 2:30 pm.
Location: MOR 225
Speaker: Mariusz Bieniek (Maria Curie-Sklodowska University, Lublin, Poland)
Title: OPTIMAL BOUNDS FOR EXPECTATIONS OF FUNCTIONS OF GENERALIZED ORDER STATISTICS
Abstract: There is a vast literature devoted to determination of optimal bounds on expectations of order statistics and record values. Most of them are derived by the application of the projection method introduced by Gajek and Rychlik. In this talk we consider extension of these results to generalized order statistics (GOS).
First, we briefly recall the concept of GOS which serves as a unified approach to distribution properties of order statistics, record values and other models of ordered random variables. Then we give a short description of the projection method which relies on finding the projection of functions onto convex cones in the Hilbert space $L^2$ of square integrable functions on $[0,1]$. To find a projection of a function onto the convex cone of nondecreasing functions in $L^2$ we need two tools: the greatest convex minorants method of Moriguti and variation diminishing property of densities of uniform GOS proved by the author. As examples of application of these results we derive optimal bounds on expectations of single GOS and of their differences.
Time: Monday, May 21, 2007 at 2:30 pm.
Location: MEB 238
Speaker: Oded Schramm (Microsoft Research)
Title: THE FOURIER SPECTRUM OF PERCOLATION
Abstract: The indicator function for the existence of a percolation crossing in an n by n square is naturally a function on the discrete cube $\{-1,1\}^E$, where $E$ is the set of edges. As such, it admits a ``Fourier'' expansion. In joint work with Christophe Garban and Gabor Pete, we obtain rather sharp estimates for the ``weight'' of the Fourier coefficients at different frequencies. This allows us to answer some basic questions about dynamical percolation (the dimension of the set of exceptional times and the existence of times with an infinite interface) and about the effect of noise on the crossing event (e.g., if you re-sample the vertical edges, is the event of a crossing in the new configuration substantially correlated with having a crossing in the original configuration?).
The above description is rather vague, and one primary objective of the talk is to clarify and expand it.
Time: Friday, May 18, 2007 at 2:30 pm.
Location: PDL C401
Speaker: Yves Lacroix (Institute of Engineering Sciences of Toulon and The Var)
Title: THE LAW OF SERIES IN ERGODIC THEORY
Abstract: The simplest model of a dynamical system in the probabilistic setting is the one obtained by a stationary ergodic process. For such process, Kolmogorov introduced the notion of entropy, which connects to the one discussed by Shannon when he was working at the Bell laboratories. The entropy is just a positive real number, and it is non zero if and only if the system is non invertible, that is the present does not only depend on the past. In other words, the system is non deterministic.
Any system can be pictured in the probabilistic sense by simple procedures, which are connected to quantification of recurrence to some events. Asymptotically, many processes admit a behavior which is much like the one of the independent process. So I have tried to understand possible asymptotics, in order to go beyond the independent or independent-like cases. After obtaining some characterizations, with T. Downarowicz, we have succeeded in proving that non determinism has an unexpected consequence : asymptotics can only reveal clustering of rare events, which means that positivity of this simple object, entropy, implies that no matter what one tries, rare events will have a natural tendency to cluster... like in the popular but yet unmodelled ``law of series''.
We have even proved that a typical partition of a positive entropy system produces a process with extreme clustering on an upper density one sequence of cylinder lengths. I will try to make this story comprehensive during my talk.
Time: Monday, May 14, 2007 at 2:30 pm.
Location: MEB 238
Speaker: Sourav Chatterjee (University of California, Berkeley)
Title: SPIN GLASSES AND STEIN'S METHOD
Abstract: The high temperature phase of the Sherrington-Kirkpatrick model of spin glasses is solved by the famous Thouless-Anderson-Palmer (TAP) system of equations. The only rigorous proof of the TAP equations, based on the cavity method, is due to Michel Talagrand. The basic premise of the cavity argument is that in the high temperature regime, certain objects known as `local fields' are approximately gaussian in the presence of a `cavity'. In this talk, I will show how to use the classical Stein's method from probability theory to discover that under the usual Gibbs measure with no cavity, the local fields are asymptotically distributed as asymmetric mixtures of pairs of gaussian random variables. An alternative (and seemingly more transparent) proof of the TAP equations automatically drops out of this new result, bypassing the cavity method.
Statistics Seminar
Time: Monday, May 7, 2007 at 3:30 pm.
Location: Savery 249
Speaker: Peter Imkeller (Humboldt University at Berlin, Germany)
Title: Scheduling, Percolation, and the Worm Order
Abstract: A spectral analysis of the time series representing average temperatures during the last ice age featuring the Dansgaard-Oeschger events reveals an alpha-stable noise component with an alpha ~ 1.78. Based on this observation, papers in the physics literature attempted a qualitative interpretation by studying diffusion equations that describe simple dynamical systems perturbed by small Levy noise. We study exit and transition problems for solutions of stochastic differential equations and stochastic reaction-diffusion equations derived from this proto-type. Due to the heavy-tail nature of the alpha-stable component of the noise, the results differ strongly from the well known case of purely Gaussian perturbations. For SPDE, transitions are governed by the modes with the largest jumps.
Time: Monday, May 7, 2007 at 2:30 pm.
Location: MEB 238
Speaker: Ron Peled (Microsoft Research)
Title: $k$-WISE INDEPENDENT EVENTS, BOOLEAN FUNCTIONS AND PERCOLATION
Abstract: What is the effect of $k$-wise independence? We consider some specific Boolean functions whose behavior we understand well when their input is independent random bits (possibly biased). We check whether assuming only that each {\it subset} of size $k$ of their input bits is completely independent can change the distribution of the output of the function significantly. Our main example is percolation: a (bond) percolation on $Z^d$ (the integer lattice in $d$-dimensions), is the process of erasing each edge of $Z^d$ with probability $1-p$ independently of all other edges. It is well known that for each $d\geq 2$, there is a critical $0p_c$, an infinite connected component remains with probability 1 and if $p
We also consider some other examples of boolean functions such as tribes and recursive majority. Our methods use techniques from error correcting codes and the classical moment problem which turn out to have many connections to this subject. We also explore connections to the harmonic analysis of boolean functions. As one application we obtain a new lower bound for the minimal size of an orthogonal array over $GF(q)$.
Time: Monday, April 30, 2007 at 2:30 pm.
Location: MEB 238
Speaker: Yuval Peres (Microsoft Research and University of California, Berkeley)
Title: STRONG SPHERICAL ASYMPTOTICS FOR ROTOR-ROUTER AGGREGATION AND THE DIVISIBLE SANDPILE
Abstract: The rotor-router model is a deterministic analogue of random walk. It can be used to define a deterministic growth model analogous to internal DLA. We prove that the asymptotic shape of this model is a Euclidean ball, in a strong sense. In 2D, for the shape consisting of $n=\pi r^2$ sites, we show that the inradius of the set of occupied sites is at least $r-O(\log r)$, while the outradius is at most $r+O(r^a)$ for any $a > 1/2$. For a related model, the divisible sandpile, we give a constant upper bound for the difference of the outradius and the inradius. For the classical Abelian sandpile model in two dimensions, with $n=\pi r^2$ particles, we improve on the best available bounds due to Le Borgne and Rossin. Similar bounds apply in higher dimensions. (Talk based on joint work with Lionel Levine).
Time: Friday, April 27, 2007 at 2:30 pm.
Location: PDL C401
Speaker: Tomoyuki Shirai (Kyushu University)
Title: ON THE VARIANCE OF RANDOMIZED VALUES OF RIEMANN'S ZETA FUNCTION ON THE CRITICAL LINE
Abstract: Recently, M. Lifshits and M. Weber studied randomized values of Riemann's zeta-function on the critical line $s=1/2 + it$ by sampling along the Cauchy random walk and show that its variance grows slowly, which is related to the famous Lindel\"of hypothesis. In this talk, I would like to explain the background and related topics of this problem, and discuss a slight extension of this result.
PIMS 10th Anniversary Distinguished Lecturer
Time: Thursday, April 19, 2007 at 4 pm.
Location: Smith 304
Speaker: Peter Winkler (Dartmouth College)
Title: Scheduling, Percolation, and the Worm Order
Abstract: When can you schedule a multi-step process without having to take backward steps? Critical are an old concept called "submodularity", a new structure called the "worm order", and a variation of what physicists call "percolation".
With these tools we will attempt to update the computer system at UW, find a lost child in the Cascades, and minimize water usage in Seattle, all without backward steps.
Joint work in part with Graham Brightwell (LSE) and in part with Lizz Moseman (Dartmouth). (This talk is designed to be accessible to undergraduates interested in mathematics.)
Time: Monday, April i16, 2007 at 2:30 pm.
Location: MEB 238
Speaker: Chris Hoffman (University of Washington)
Title: RANDOM WALK AMONG BOUNDED RANDOM CONDUCTANCES
Abstract: Over the last decade there has been much interest in the study of simple random walk on percolation clusters on $Z^d$. Condition on the origin being in the infinite cluster. Then the probability that the simple random walk started at the origin returns to the origin after $2n$ steps is $O(n^{-d/2})$, just as it is for simple random walk on $Z^d$.
In this talk we consider the nearest-neighbor random walk on $Z^d$, $d\ge2$, driven by a field of bounded random conductances $\omega_{xy}\in (0,1]$. We study the decay of the probability that the random walk started at the origin returns to the origin after $2n$ steps. We prove that this probability is bounded by a random constant times $n^{-d/2}$ in $d=2,3$, while it is $o(n^{-2})$ in $d\ge5$ and $O(n^{-2}\log n)$ in $d=4$. We prove that the $o(n^{-2})$ bound in $d\ge5$ is the best possible. This is joint work with Noam Berger, Marek Biskup and Gady Kozma
Time: Monday, April 9, 2007 at 2:30 pm.
Location: MEB 238
Speaker: Russell Lyons (Indiana University and Microsoft)
Title: SPANNING TREES, RANDOM GRAPHS, AND RANDOM WALKS
Abstract: In the usual Erd\"os-R\'enyi model of random graphs, each pair of $n$ vertices is connected by an edge independently with probability $c/n$ for some constant $c$. When $c > 1$, it has a unique ``giant'' component. How quickly does the number of spanning trees of the giant component grow with $n$ compared to the growth in the number of its vertices? Is it monotonic in $c$? We answer this in joint work with Ron Peled and Oded Schramm.
Time: Monday, April 2, 2007 at 2:30 pm.
Location: MEB 238
Speaker: Jason Swanson (University of Wisconsin, Madison)
Title: STOCHASTIC INTEGRATION WITH RESPECT TO A QUARTIC VARIATION PROCESS
Abstract: Brownian motion (BM) is used to model a wide array of stochastic phenomena in a variety of scientific disciplines. Typically, this is done by using BM as a driving term in a stochastic differential equation (SDE). We are able to define and study these SDEs using Ito's stochastic calculus. Similarly, stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) are often used to model stochastic phenomena. In this talk, we consider a very simple example of a stochastic heat equation. The solution to this SPDE, when regarded as a process indexed by time, has a nontrivial 4-variation. It follows that we cannot use the traditional methods of the Ito calculus to define an SDE driven by this process.
In this talk, I will describe work in progress toward constructing a stochastic integral with respect to this process and a corresponding Ito-like change-of-variables formula. The integral being constructed is a limit of discrete Riemann sums. It turns out that the process we are considering has a very close relationship to a certain "flavor" of fractional Brownian motion (FBM). The quest for a calculus for FBM has led researchers in several different directions and there is a large body of literature on the topic. I will discuss some of the similarities and differences between our approach and an analogous approach for FBM using the so-called regularization procedure of Russo and Vallois.
Part of this project is joint work with Chris Burdzy.
Time: Friday March 2, 2007 at 2:30 pm.
Location: PDL C-36
Speaker: Noam Berger (UCLA, visiting Microsoft Research)
Title: Intersection of paths and high dimensional random walk in random environment.
Abstract: We show an easy estimate for the probability of intersection of two random walks in random environment (RWRE) in dimension five or more. We then get two corollaries:a law of large numbers for distributionally symmetric RWRE in dimension geq 5, and a quenched CLT for certain ballistics RWRE-s in dimension geq 4.
Partly based on joint work with Ofer Zeitouni. No knowledge of RWRE will be assumed.
Time: Friday 2/23/2007 at 2:30 pm.
Location: PDL C-401
Speaker: Yan-Xia Ren (Beijing University, visiting University of Oregon)
Title: Limit theorems for super-diffusions corresponding to the operator $Lu+\beta u-ku^2$
Abstract: Consider a superdiffusion $X$ corresponding to the operator $Lu+\beta u-ku^2$, where $\beta(x)$ is bounded from above and is in the Kato class, and $k(x)\ge 0$ is bounded on compact subset of ${\bf R}^d$. Let $-\Lambda $ be the $L^{\infty}$-spectral radius of the semigroup $Q_t$ corresponding to the Schrodinger operator $Lu+\beta u$. We prove that if $\Lambda >0$, the exponential growth rate of the total mass of $X$ is $\Lambda $; if $\Lambda <0$, the exponential decay rate of the total mass of $X$ is $\Lambda <0$. We also describe the limiting behavior of $\exp(-\Lambda t)X_t({\bf R}^d)$, where $X_t({\bf R}^d)$ is the total mass of $X$ at time $t$. In particular, in the case $\Lambda =0$, under some restrict conditions on $\beta$, we give a sufficient and necessary condition for the superdiffusion $X$ exhibiting weak extinction. It turns out that the branching rate function $k$ affects the weak extinction, this should be compared with the known result that $k$ does not affects the weak local extinction of $X$.
Time: Monday 2/12/2007 at 2:30 pm.
Location: SAV 151
Speaker: Alexander Holroyd (University of British Columbia)
Title: Random Sorting Networks
Abstract: See http://www.math.ubc.ca/~holroyd/sort for pictures. Joint work with Omer Angel, Dan Romik and Balint Virag.
Sorting a list of items is perhaps the most celebrated problem in computer science. If one must do this by swapping neighboring pairs, the worst initial condition is when the n items are in reverse order, in which case n choose 2 swaps are needed. A sorting network is any sequence of n choose 2 swaps which achieves this.
We investigate the behavior of a uniformly random n-item sorting network as n->infinity. We prove a law of large numbers for the space-time process of swaps. Exact simulations and heuristic arguments have led us to astonishing conjectures. For example, the half-time permutation matrix appears to be circularly symmetric, while the trajectories of individual items appear to converge to a famous family of smooth curves. We prove the more modest results that, asymptotically, the support of the matrix lies within a certain octagon, while the trajectories are Holder-1/2. A key tool is a connection with Young tableaux.
Time: Monday 2/5/2007 at 2:30 pm.
Location: SAV 151
Speaker: Abraham Flaxman (Microsoft Research)
Title: Expansion and lack thereof in randomly perturbed graphs
Abstract: This talk will investigate the expansion properties of randomly perturbed graphs. These graphs are formed by, for example, adding a random 1-out or very sparse Erdos-Renyi graph to an arbitrary connected graph.
When any connected n-vertex base graph is perturbed by adding a random 1-out then, with high probability, the resulting graph has expansion properties. When the perturbation is by a sparse Erdos-Renyi graph, the expansion of the perturbed graph depends on the structure of the base graph.
The same techniques also apply to bound the expansion in the small worlds graphs described by Watts and Strogatz in [Nature 292 (1998), 440--442] and by Kleinberg in [Proc. of 32nd ACM Symposium on Theory of Computing (2000), 163--170]. Analysis of Kleinberg's model reveals a phase transition: the graph stops being an expander exactly at the point where a decentralized algorithm is effective in constructing a short path.
The proofs of expansion rely on a way of summing over subsets of vertices which allows an argument based on the First Moment Method to succeed.
Time: Monday 1/29/2007 at 2:30 pm.
Location: SAV 151
Speaker: Gabor Pete (Microsoft Research)
Title: Corner percolation on \Z^2, and other linear entropy models
Abstract: Corner percolation is a strongly dependent percolation model introduced by Bálint Tóth, exhibiting some unusual critical behaviour. We prove that all connected components are finite cycles almost surely, but the expected diameter of the cycle containing the origin is infinite. Moreover, we derive the following critical exponents: the tail probability \Pr(diameter of the cycle of the origin > n) \approx n^{-\gamma}, and the expectation \E(length of a cycle conditioned on having diameter n) \approx n^\delta, with \gamma=(5-\sqrt{17})/4=0.219... and \delta=(\sqrt{17}+1)/4=1.28... The value of \delta comes from the solution of a singular sixth order ODE, while the relation \gamma+\delta=3/2 corresponds to the fact that the scaling limit of the natural height function in the model is the Additive Brownian Motion, whose level sets have Hausdorff dimension 3/2.
I will discuss many exciting open problems, e.g. on the conformal invariance of some similar linear entropy models.
Time: Monday 1/22/2007 at 2:30 pm.
Location: SAV 151
Speaker: Ioana Dumitriu (University of Washington)
Title: Central Limit Theorems for \beta-Hermite and \beta-Laguerre ensembles (C^1 functions)
Abstract: The \beta-Hermite and -Laguerre ensembles are generalizations of the "classical" Gaussian and central Wishart ones, and have applications in statistical physics (from the theory of log-Coulomb gases to traffic patterns, parked car spacings, etc.)
The (scaled) empirical distributions of these ensembles converge to the famous Wigner semicircle law (in the case of Hermite), respectively, Mar\v{c}enko-Pastur law (for Laguerre). I will show that the fluctuations from these laws describe Gaussian processes on C^1 functions. Then I will comment on a "natural barrier" found at C^{1/2}, and express consternation and a certain degree of frustration with it.
This is joint work with Ofer Zeitouni.
Time: Monday 1/8/2007 at 2:30 pm.
Location: SAV 151
Speaker: Krzysztof Burdzy (University of Washington)
Title: Pathwise uniqueness for reflected Brownian motion in $C^{1+\gamma}$ domains
Abstract: A domain in $R^d$ is called $C^{1+\gamma}$ if its boundary can be locally represented as the graph of a function whose gradient is Holder with exponent $\gamma$. For $d\geq 3$, pathwise uniqueness holds for the SDE representing reflected Brownian motion in a $C^{1+\gamma}$ domain provided $\gamma > 1/2$. For every $\gamma < 1/2$, there exists $d$ and a $C^{1+\gamma}$ domain $D$ in $R^d$ such that pathwise uniqueness fails in $D$.
Work in progress. Joint with R. Bass.
Time: Monday, December 4, 2006 at 2:30 pm.
Location: MGH 288
Speaker: Yuval Peres (Microsoft Research, UC Berkeley and UW)
Title: GRAVITATIONAL ALLOCATION TO POISSON POINTS
Abstract: We consider the Poisson fair allocation problem: Given a realization of a Poisson point process, allocate to each point of the process a unit of volume, in a deterministic translation-invariant way, so that the diameter of the region allocated to each point is stochastically as small as possible. One approach to this problem, studied in previous work with C. Hoffman and A. Holroyd, uses the stable marriage algorithm of Gale and Shapley. Here we show that in dimensions 3 and higher, gravity without inertia yields a very satisfying solution. The argument starts with the classical calculation by Chandrasekar of the total force acting on a point, which has a symmetric stable law. The fairness of the allocation is a consequence of the divergence theorem; The diameters of the allocated regions are analyzed using methods from percolation theory. (Joint work with S. Chatterjee, R. Peled, D. Romik).
Time: Monday, November 27, 2006 at 2:30 pm.
Location: MGH 288
Speaker: Gunnar Gunnarsson (University of Washington)
Title: SPDE MODELS FOR HIGHWAY TRAFFIC
Abstract: We introduce a new stochastic partial differential equation model for multi-lane highway traffic. We prove well-posedness of the model, derive a numerical method for calculating its solutions and estimate some of its parameters.
Time: Monday, November 20, 2006 at 2:30 pm.
Location: MGH 288
Speaker: Yuan-Chung Sheu (National Chiao Tung University, Hsinchu, Taiwan)
Title: AN ODE APPROACH FOR THE EXPECTED DISCOUNTED PENALTY AT RUIN IN JUMP DIFFUSION MODEL
Abstract: For a general penalty function, the expected discounted penalty at ruin was considered by, for example, Gerber and Shiu(1998) and Gerber and Landry (1998) in insurance literature. On the other hand, many pricing functionals in mathematical finance can be formulated in terms of expected discounted penalties. Under the assumption that the asset value follows a jump diffusion, we show the expected discounted penalty satisfies an ODE and obtain a general form for the expected discounted penalty. In particular, if only downward phase-type jumps are allowed, we get an explicit formula in terms of the penalty function and jump distribution. On the other hand, if downward jump distribution is a mixture of exponential distributions (and upward jumps are determined by a general L\'{e}vy measure), we obtain closed form solutions for the expected discounted penalty. As an application, we work out an example in Leland's structural model with jumps. For earlier and related results, see Gerber and Landry(1998), Hilberink and Rogers(2002), Mordecki(2002), Kou and Wang(2004), Asmussen et al.(2004) and others.
Time: Monday, November 13, 2006 at 2:30 pm.
Location: MGH 288
Speaker: Tomoyuki Shirai (Kyushu University)
Title: ON THE NUMBER OF EIGENVALUES OF GINIBRE MATRIX ENSEMBLE
Abstract: Ginibre matrix ensemble is the random matrix whose entries are i.i.d. complex Gaussian random variables. Its random eigenvalues form a determinantal point process (associated with exponential kernel) on the whole complex plane. We discuss the large deviation principle for the number of its eigenvalues inside a ball and also its conditional expectation given that there are no eigenvalues in a big ball.
Time: Monday, November 6, 2006 at 2:30 pm.
Location: MGH 288
Speaker: Tusheng Zhang (University of Manchester)
Title: GLOBAL FLOWS FOR STOCHASTIC DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS WITHOUT GLOBAL LIPSCHITZ CONDITIONS
Abstract: We consider stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motion. The coefficients are supposed to satisfy only local Lipschitz conditions. The Lipschitz constants of the drift, valid on balls of radius $R$, are supposed to grow not faster than $\log R$, those of diffusion coefficient not faster than $\sqrt{\log R}$. Under these conditions, we establish the existence of a global flow for the stochastic differential equation.
Time: Monday, October 30, 2006 at 2:30 pm.
Location: MGH 288
Speaker: Kavita Ramanan (Carnegie Mellon University)
Title: EXISTENCE AND UNIQUENESS OF SOLUTIONS TO A CLASS OF STOCHASTIC DIFFERENTIAL INCLUSIONS
Abstract: We establish sufficient conditions for pathwise uniqueness and existence of strong solutions to a class of stochastic differential equations in $R^n$ with discontinuous drift (interpreted as stochastic differential inclusions), that are possibly reflected in a polyhedral domain with piecewise constant reflection field. In contrast to previous results, we do not impose any uniform ellipticity assumptions, and our results also yield new conditions for uniqueness of solutions to ordinary differential inclusions with drifts that have multiple intersecting surfaces of discontinuity. We will also briefly discuss the application of our results to the study of large deviations of a class of jump Markov processes that arise naturally in applications. This is joint work with Rami Atar and Amarjit Budhiraja.
MATHEMATICS COLLOQUIUM (PIMS 10th Anniversary Distinguished Lecturer)Time: Tuesday, October 24, 2006 at 4 pm.
Location: Smith 304
Speaker: Gregory Lawler (University of Chicago)
Title: CONFORMAL INVARIANCE AND TWO-DIMENSIONAL STATISTICAL PHYSICS
Abstract: A number of lattice models in two-dimensional statistical physics are conjectured to exhibit conformal invariance in the scaling limit at criticality. In this talk, I will try to explain what the previous sentence means, focusing on three elementary examples: simple random walk, self-avoiding walk, loop-erased random walk. I will describe the limit objects, Schramm-Loewner Evolution (SLE), the Brownian loop soup, and the normalized partition functions, and show how conformal invariance can be used to calculate quantities ("critical exponents") for the model. I will also describe why (in some sense) there is only a one-parameter family of conformally invariant limits. In conformal field theory, this family is parametrized by central charge.
This talk is for a general mathematical audience. No knowledge of statistical physics will be assumed.
Time: Friday, October 20, 2006 at 2:30 pm.
Location: THO 235
Speaker: Eulalia Nualart (Universit\'e Paris 13)
Title: HITTING PROBABILITIES FOR SYSTEMS OF NONLINEAR STOCHASTIC HEAT EQUATIONS
Abstract: In this talk we develop potential theory for a system of non-linear stochastic heat equations in spatial dimension one and driven by a space-time white noise. In particular, we prove upper and lower bounds on hitting probabilities of the process which is solution of this system of equations, in terms of respectively Hausdorff measure and Newtonian capacity. These estimates make it possible to discuss polarity for points and to compute the Hausdorff dimension of the range and the level sets of this process. In order to prove the hitting probabilities estimates, we need to establish Gaussian type bounds for the bivariate density of the process in order to quantify its degeneracy. For this, we use techniques of Malliavin calculus.
Time: Monday, October 9, 2006 at 2:30 pm.
Location: MGH 288
Speaker: Lionel Levine (University of California, Berkeley)
Title: THE SCALING LIMIT OF DIACONIS-FULTON ADDITION
Abstract: Given two sets $A$ and $B$ in the lattice, the Diaconis-Fulton sum is a random set obtained by putting one particle in every point of the symmetric difference, and two particles in every point of the intersection, of $A$ and $B$. Each "extra" particle performs random walk until it reaches an unoccupied site, where it settles. The law of the resulting random occupied set $A+B$ does not depend on the order of the walks. We find the (deterministic) scaling limit of the sums $A+B$ when $A$ and $B$ consist of the lattice points in some overlapping domains in Euclidean space. The limit is described by focusing on the "odometer" of the process, which solves a free boundary obstacle problem for the Laplacian. Joint work with Yuval Peres.
Time: Monday, October 2, 2006 at 2:30 pm.
Location: MGH 288 (Mary Gates Hall)
Speaker: Peter Moerters (University of Bath)
Title: LOCALIZATION OF MASS IN THE PARABOLIC ANDERSON MODEL
Abstract: The parabolic Anderson model is the Cauchy problem for the heat equation with random potential. After a gentle introduction of some basic features of the model, I will discuss a recent result showing that, for a particular class of potentials, at large times the mass becomes localised in a single point in space, which moves in time.
The talk is based on joint work with W Koenig and N Sidorova.
Time: Thursday 8/3/2006 at 2:30 pm.
Location: LOW 111
Speaker: Panki Kim (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign)
Title: Intrinsic Ultracontractivity for Non-symmetric Levy Processes
Abstract: Recently the concept of intrinsic ultracontractivity to non-symmetric semigroups has been introduced by Kim and Song. In this talk, we study the intrinsic ultracontractivity for non-symmetric discontinuous Levy processes.
Time: Wednesday May 24, 2006 at 2:30 pm.
Location: THO 211
Speaker: Takashi Kumagai (Kyoto University)
Title: On the existence of cut points for Brownian motion on fractals
Abstract: Let $B(t)$ be a Brownian motion on some metric space $K$. A time $t\in [0,1]$ is called a cut time for $B[0,1]$ if $B[0,t)\cap B(t,1]$ is empty, and $B(t)$ is called a cut point if $t$ is a cut time. Let $L$ be the set of cut points for $B[0,1]$. When $K=R^d (d=2,3)$, Burdzy showed that non-trivial cut points exist, and later Lawler obtained the Hausdorff dimension of $L$ in terms of the intersection exponent. On the other hand, it is known that when $d=1$, there is no non-trivial cut points. In this talk, we will discuss the existence of cut points for Brownian motion on fractals. We will prove that there is a family of fractals whose Brownian motions are point recurrent, but have non-trivial cut points. This is a on-going joint work with Peter Morters (Bath).
Time: Wednesday May 17, 2006 at 2:30 pm.
Location: THO 211
Speaker: Kavita Ramanan (Carnegie-Mellon University)
Title: A Concentration Inequality for Weakly Contracting Markov Chains
Abstract: Given a Markov chain X on a countable state space S and a Lipschitz function f on S^n, we derive a concentration inequality for the function f around its mean. We use the method of bounded martingale differences to derive this concentration inequality. To set this result in context, we will also provide a brief survey of concentration of measure results in the i.i.d. setting. This is joint work with Leonid Kontorovich.
Time: Monday May 8, 2006 at 2:30 pm.
Location: MEB 238
Speaker: Kittipat Wong (Chulalongkorn University, Thailand)
Title: Large time behavior of Dirichlet heat kernels
Abstract: We will discuss the asymptotic behavior of the transition density $p^D(t,x,y)$ of killed Brownian motions in $D$ where $D \subset R^d, d \ge 2$ is an unbounded domain above the graph of a bounded Lipschitz function.
Time: Wednesday May 3, 2006 at 2:30 pm.
Location: THO 211
Speaker: Rami Atar (Technion and University of Washington)
Title: Large Deviations and Related PDE
Abstract: It is well known that dynamic control problems for Markov processes, in which large deviations are heavily penalized, lead in an appropriate scaling limit to differential games and, in turn, to Hamilton-Jacobi type PDE. I will review results in the field and present new queueing networks applications.
Time: Monday, April 24, 2006 at 2:30 pm.
Location: MEB 238
Speaker: Hanna Jankowski (University of Washington)
Title: Central Limit Theorem for a Zero Range Tagged Particle
Abstract: To further understand the scaling limit of an interacting particle system, one would like to establish a limit law for the evolution of a tagged particle and the associated central limit theorem. Tagging the particles makes this a difficult problem, and one method to deal with it is to consider first an intermediate step: limit laws and fluctuations for the colour empirical densities. I will discuss the nonequilibrium fluctuations of the coloured version of the symmetric zero range particle system, and what this implies about the CLT for the tagged particle.
Time: Monday, April 17, 2006 at 2:30 pm.
Location: MEB 238
Speaker: Krzysztof Burdzy (University of Washington)
Title: Shy couplings
Abstract: Given Markovian transition probabilities, can one construct two processes $X$ and $X'$ with these transition probabilities, such that the distance between $X$ and $X'$ stays always above some $\eps>0$? A pair of proceses with the above property is called a shy coupling. I will give examples of Markovian transition probabilities that admit shy couplings and examples when shy couplings do not exist.
Joint work with I. Benjamini and Z. Chen.
Time: Monday, April 3, 2006 at 2:30 pm.
Location: MEB 238
Speaker: David Wilson (Microsoft Research)
Title: Boundary Connections in Trees and Dimers
Abstract: We study groves on planar graphs, which are forests in which every tree contains one or more of a special set of vertices on the outer face. Each grove partitions the set of special vertices. When a random grove is selected, we show how to compute the various partition probabilities as functions of the electrical properties of the graph when viewed as a resistor network. We prove that for any partition sigma, Pr[grove has type sigma] / Pr[grove is a tree] is a dyadic-coefficient polynomial in the pairwise resistances between the special vertices, and Pr[grove has type sigma] / Pr[grove has maximal number of trees] is an integer-coefficient polynomial in the entries of the Dirichlet-to-Neumann matrix. We give analogous polynomial formulas for the double-dimer model. These partition probabilities are relevant to multichordal SLE_8, SLE_2, and SLE_4. (Joint work with Richard Kenyon.)
Note the unusual day of the week.Time: Friday, March 10, 2006 at 2:30 pm.
Location: PDL C-401
Speaker: Jin Ma (Purdue University)
Title: STOCHASTIC CONTROL PROBLEMS DRIVEN BY NORMAL MARTINGALES
Abstract: We study a class of stochastic control problems in which the control of the jump size is essential. Such a model is a generalized version for various applied problems, such as the optimal reinsurance selections for general insurance models. The main novel nature of such a control problem is that by changing the jump size of the system, one essentially changes the type of the driving martingale. Such a feature does not seem to have been investigated in any existing stochastic control literature. Assuming that the driving normal martingale is one-dimensional, we prove the Bellman Principle for such a control problem, and derive the corresponding Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation, which in this case is a mixed second-order partial differential/difference equation. We prove that the value function is the {\it unique} viscosity solution of such an HJB equation and discuss the uniqueness of such PDDE.
This is a join work with Rainer Buckdahn and Catherine Rainer.
Time: Monday, February 27, 2006 at 2:30 pm.
Location: PDL C-401
Speaker: Kathryn Temple (Central Washington University)
Title: PARTICLE REPRESENTATIONS OF EXIT MEASURES
Abstract: The connection between diffusions and certain linear elliptic boundary value problems is well-known. More recently, a connection between superdiffusions and a class of nonlinear elliptic PDEs has been developed and exploited. Making this connection requires a construction of the superdiffusion which allows additional structure, such as Dynkin's Branching Exit Markov Systems, the Dawson-Perkins Historical Process, or LeGall's Brownian Snake. We use an adaptation of a particle construction of Kurtz and Rodrigues to construct an exit measure and therefore solutions of the PDEs associated with a certain class of superdiffusions. As time permits, we will give an application of this construction to a simple homogenization problem.
Note the unusual day of the week and unusual room.Time: Wednesday, February 22, 2006 at 2:30 pm.
Location: SIG 226
Speaker: Yuichi Shiozawa (Tohoku University)
Title: EXTINCTION OF BRANCHING SYMMETRIC $\alpha$-STABLE PROCESSES
Abstract: We give a criterion for extinction of branching symmetric $\alpha$-stable processes in terms of the principal eigenvalue for Schr\"odinger type operators. Here the branching rate and the branching mechanism are spatially dependent. In particular, the branching rate is allowed to be singular with respect to the Lebesgue measure. We also study the exponential growth of the number of particles for these processes.
Time: Monday, February 13, 2006 at 2:30 pm.
Location: PDL C-401
Speaker: Oded Schramm (Microsoft)
Title: THE DISCRETE GAUSSIAN FREE FIELD AND ITS LEVEL LINES
Abstract: An instance of the Gaussian free field is a random function defined in a domain in $R^d$. It is a generalization of Brownian motion to the case where time is multi-dimensional, and it is useful for modelling many different kinds of random surfaces. In two dimension, it exhibits conformal invariance.
During the talk we will define the Gaussian free field and also the discrete Gaussian free field and describe joint work with Scott Sheffield identifying the scaling limit of the level lines of the discrete Gaussian free field in two dimensions (as the lattice mesh tends to zero). These limits are random curves having Hausdorff dimension 3/2 a.s.
Time: Monday, February 6, 2006 at 2:30 pm.
Location: PDL C-401
Speaker: Nicole Immorlica (Microsoft)
Title: MARRIAGE, HONESTY AND STABILITY
Abstract: Many centralized two-sided markets, such as the medical residency market or online dating services, form a matching between participants by running a stable marriage algorithm. It is a well-known fact that no matching mechanism based on a stable marriage algorithm can guarantee truthfulness as a dominant strategy for participants. However, as we will show in this talk, in a certain probabilistic setting, truthfulness is (in some sense) the best strategy for the participants.
We show this by proving that in our setting the set of stable marriages is small. We derive several corollaries of this result. First, we show that, with high probability, in a stable marriage mechanism, the truthful strategy is the best response for a given player when the other players are truthful. Then we analyze equilibria of the deferred acceptance stable marriage game. We show that the game with complete information has an equilibrium in which a $(1-o(1))$ fraction of the strategies are truthful in expectation. In the more realistic setting of a game of incomplete information, we will show that the set of truthful strategies form a $(1+o(1))$-approximate Bayesian-Nash equilibrium. Our results have implications in many practical settings and were inspired by experimental observations in a paper of Roth and Peranson (1999) concerning the National Residency Matching Program.
This is joint work with Mohammad Mahdian.
Time: Monday, January 30, 2006 at 2:30 pm.
Location: PDL C-401
Speaker: Omer Angel (University of British Columbia)
Title: ONE DIMENSIONAL DLA
Abstract: We consider a variation on DLA (diffusion limited aggregation) in 1 dimension generated by a random walk with large jumps. The growth rate of the diameter of the $n$ particle aggregate depends on the tail of the step distribution, and exhibits three phase transitions when the steps have 1, 2 or 3 finite moments.
Time: Monday, January 23,, 2006 at 2:30 pm.
Location: PDL C-401
Speaker: Rami Atar (Technion and University of Washington)
Title: ANALYSIS OF MIRROR COUPLINGS IN SMOOTH DOMAINS
Abstract: We analyze a coupling of two reflecting Brownian motions in (the closure of) a smooth domain, with the property that whenever both processes are in the domain, the motions form mirror images of each other. Under appropriate geometric conditions, we show that the motion of the mirror is limited in the sense that there are parts of the domain that it will never intersect (for suitable initial conditions). This will be described along with consequences regarding monotonicity of the Neumann-Laplacian eigenfunctions a la the `hot spots' problem. Joint work with Chris Burdzy.
Note the unusual day of the week and time. This will be also a colloquium talk.Time: 4:00 p.m., Thursday, January 19, 2006
Location: Smith 105
Speaker: Jin Feng (University of Massachusetts at Amherst)
Title: LARGE DEVIATIONS FOR MARKOV PROCESSES AND RELATED VARIATIONAL PROBLEMS
Abstract: Large deviation estimates are probabilistic limit theorems which are used to describe atypical behavior of random systems. Markov processes are a rich class of probabilistic models. Their generators constitute a link between probability, classical analysis and *linear* partial differential equations. I will describe a method for deriving large deviation estimates for a sequence of Markov processes through convergence of some *nonlinear* transforms of their generators. This is a previously unknown connection between probability and certain topics in nonlinear analysis such as Hamilton-Jacobi equations, viscosity solutions, and optimal control theory. I will offer examples where probability can help with analytical problems and vice versa. I will use examples ranging from small random perturbations of ODEs to the more physically motivated ones such as macroscopic description of multi-scale microscopic interacting particle systems.
Time: Monday, January 9, 2006 at 2:30 pm.
Location: PDL C-401
Speaker: Jason Swanson (University of Wisconsin, Madison)
Title: ASYMPTOTIC BEHAVIOR OF A GENERALIZED TCP CONGESTION AVOIDANCE ALGORITHM
Abstract: The Transmission Control Protocol (TCP) is designed to guarantee reliable and sequential delivery of packets of data from a sender to a receiver on a computer network. To avoid network congestion, TCP uses various variations on an additive-increase-multiplicative-decrease algorithm, which means that the rate of data flow is increased linearly until a packet loss is detected, at which point the rate is reduced by some constant multiplicative factor. I will present a generalization of this TCP Congestion Avoidance algorithm, which is due to Teunis J. Ott of the New Jersey Institute of Technology. This model includes, as a special case, the so-called "Scalable TCP," which is a multiplicative-increase-multiplicative-decrease scheme.
The general model is given by a Markov chain $\{W_n\}$, which represents the size of the congestion window (that is, the rate of data flow) at the time of the delivery of the $n$-th packet. Implicit in this model is a parameter $p$, which denotes the probability of a packet loss. Under suitable scaling of time and space, this process converges weakly as $p\to 0$ to the solution of a stochastic differential equation. The form of the equation depends on the values of certain parameters in the model. For some values, it is the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck equation; for the others, it is an equation driven by a Poisson process. I will sketch the proof of this result and discuss further unanswered question. This is joint work with Teun Ott.
Time: Wednesday, December 7, 2005 at 2:30 pm.
Location: PDL C-401
Speaker: Jeremy Quastel (University of Toronto)
Title: Asymptotic speed of traveling fronts in the KPP equation with noise
Abstract: The most basic reaction-diffusion equation, KPP, was introduced by Fisher to model the spread of an advantageous gene. In this context it is very natural to consider what happens to traveling fronts when the equation is perturbed by an appropriate noise. Brunet and Derrida observed, by simulations and physical arguments, that the noise leads to an unexpectedly large slowdown of the traveling fronts. We describe the problem and proofs of some of their conjectures. This is joint work with Carl Mueller (Rochester) and Leonid Mytnik (Technion).
Time: Monday, November 21, 2005 at 2:30 pm.
Location: PDL C-401
Speaker: Jim Burke (University of Washington)
Title: Estimation of Constrained Mixture Densities
Abstract: We consider the constrained mixture density estimation problem over a parametric family of densities. It is shown how this problem can be posed as a convex optimization problem on the space of regular Borel measures. By combining this formulation with Caratheodory's Theorem for convex sets in finite dimensions it is possible to pose an equivalent finite dimensional optimization problem. The problem is then amenable to a variety of numerical optimization routines. One such approach based on interior point technology is discussed and numerical results are presented.
This research is the result of a joint work between the speaker and Yeongcheon Baek.
Time: Monday, November 14, 2005 at 2:30 pm.
Location: PDL C-401
Speaker: Peter D. Hoff (University of Washington)
Title: Random Graph Models for Relational Network Data
Abstract: Relational data measure the presence or absence of links among a set of objects. This data structure is very general and has many applications in the social and biological sciences. In this talk we consider two families of probability models which are used to make inference from network data. The first family includes exponentially parameterized models, which are motivated by simplicity and maximum entropy considerations. Models in the second family are motivated by a certain type of row-and-column exchangeability for arrays, and typically have a very large parameter space. Finally, we compare the appropriateness of these two model classes for a variety of inferential goals.
Time: Monday, November 7, 2005 at 2:30 pm.
Location: PDL C-401
Speaker: Chris Hoffman (University of Washington)
Title: Dynamic random walk in two dimesnions
Abstract: Benjamini, Haggstrom, Peres and Steif introduced the concept of a dynamical random walk. This is a continuous family of random walks in d dimensions, S_n(t), indexed by a real number t. They asked which properties of simple random walk that hold for almost every t hold for all t. They proved that if d=3,4 then there exist (random) times t such that the random walk returns to the origin infinitely often, but if d>4 then the random walk returns to the origin only finitely often for all t. We prove that if d=2 then there exists (random) times t such that the random walk returns to the origin only finitely often. This result is related to a theorem of Adelman, Burdzy and Pemantle in which they prove that although Browninan motion in three dimensions spends an infinite amount of time in a given infinite cylinder of radius one almost surely, but there exist (random) cylinders where Brownian motion spends only a finite amount of time almost surely.
Time: Monday, Oct 31, 2005 at 2:30 pm.
Location: PDL C-401
Speaker: Vlada Limic (University of British Columbia)
Title: The spatial Lambda-coalescent
Abstract: This talk is based on a joint paper with Anja Sturm, and it will describe the extension of the Lambda-coalescent of Pitman (1999) to the spatial setting. The partition elements of the spatial Lambda-coalescent migrate in a (finite) geographical space and may only coalesce if located at the same site of the space. We characterize the Lambda-coalescents that come down from infinity, in an analogous way to Schweinsberg (2000). Surprisingly, all spatial coalescents that come down from infinity, also come down from infinity in a uniform way. This enables us to study space-time asymptotics of spatial Lambda-coalescents on large tori in transient dimensions. Our results generalize and strengthen those of Greven et al. (2005), who studied the spatial Kingman coalescent in this context.
Time: Monday, Oct 24, 2005 at 2:30 pm.
Location: PDL C-401
Speaker: David Levin (University of Oregon)
Title: A Coupling, and a Conjecture of Darling and Erdos
Abstract: I will describe a new coupling of the running maximum of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and the running maximum of an explicit iid sequence. This coupling can be used to resolve a conjecture of Darling and Erdos (1956). Joint work with D. Khoshnevisan.
Time: Monday, Oct 17, 2005 at 2:30 pm.
Location: PDL C-401
Speaker: Ken Alexander (University of Southern California)
Title: The pinning transition for a polymer in the presence of a random potential
Abstract: We consider a polymer, with monomer locations modeled by the trajectory of a Markov chain, in the presence of a potential that interacts with the polymer when it visits a particular site 0. We assume the probability of an excursion of length $n$ from 0, in the absence of the potential, decays like $n^{-c}$ for some $c>1$. Disorder is introduced by, having the interaction vary from one monomer to another, as a constant $u$ plus i.i.d. mean-0 randomness. There is a critical value of $u$ above which the polymer is pinned, placing a positive fraction, called the contact fraction, of its monomers at 0 with high probability. We obtain bounds for the contact fraction near the critical point and examine the effect of the disorder on the specific heat exponent, which describes the approach to 0 of the contact fraction at the critical point. Our results are consistent with predictions in the physics literature that the effect of disorder is quite different in the cases $c<3/2$ and $c>3/2$.
Time: Wednesday, Oct 12, 2005 at 2:30 pm.
Location: SMI 311
Speaker: Bartek Dyda (Technical Univ of Wroclaw)
Title: On fractional order Hardy inequalities
Abstract: We will state the fractional order Hardy inequality for e.g. bounded Lipschitz domains, and prove it in the simplest case when the domain is R^d \setminus \{0\}. This inequality will give us transcience of the censored stable process (with the stability index > 1) in bounded Lipschitz domains. This result was obtained earlier (by another methods) in the paper of Bogdan, Burdzy and Chen. We will also mention some further results concerning fractional order Hardy inequalities.
Time: Wednesday, August 24, 2005 at 3:30 pm.
Location: Padelford C-36
Speaker: Wojbor A. Woyczy\'nski (Case Western Reserve University)
Title: STOCHASTIC PARTICLE METHODS FOR NONLINEAR EVOLUTION EQUATIONS INVOLVING L'EVY GENERATORS
Abstract: I will consider a class of nonlinear integro-differential equations driven by L\'evy infinitesimal generators and involving nonlocal nonlinearities represented by singular integral operators. We associate a nonlinear diffusion in the McKean sense with the original singular equation and are able to prove the convergence of cut-off interacting particle systems to the law of this nonlinear singular diffusion.
Time: Monday, May 23, 2005 at 2:30 pm.
Location: SMI 102
Speaker: Elton Hsu (Northwestern University)
Title: MASS TRANSPORTATION PROBLEM AND COUPLING OF DIFFUSION PROCESSES
Abstract: We will discuss the problem of existence and uniqueness of maximal Markov coupling of diffusion processes, in particular, Brownian motion on Riemannian manifolds. We will show how this problem is related to the mass transportation problem with a cost function determined by the heat kernel of the diffusion process. The problem is completely solved only in the Euclidean case.A part of this talk is the joint work with Theo Sturm (Bonn).
Time: Monday, May 16, 2005 at 2:30 pm.
Location: SMI 102
Speaker: Matthew Stephens (University of Washington)
Title: EXCHANGEABLE AND NON-EXCHANGEABLE DISTRIBUTIONS ARISING FROM APPLICATIONS IN POPULATION GENETICS
Abstract: Population genetics is the study of genetic variation in random samples of individuals from a population. I will give an informal introduction to some of the mathematical theory underlying recent progress in this discipline. Much of the theory is derived under simplistic and unrealistic assumptions. I will describe work to relax these assumptions to capture important aspects of real data. Although this work has had important impact in several practical applications, it raises several interesting and unresolved theoretical problems.
Time: Monday, May 9, 2005 at 2:30 pm.
Location: SMI 102
Speaker: Karoly Simon (Technical University of Budapest)
Title: THE SIZE OF THE ALGEBRAIC DIFFERENCE OF TWO RANDOM CANTOR SETS
Abstract: In this talk we consider some families of random Cantor sets on the line and investigate the question whether the condition that the sum of Hausdorff dimension is larger than one, implies the existence of interior points in the difference set. We prove that this is the case for the so called Mandelbrot percolation. On the other hand the same is not always true if we apply a construction of random Cantor sets similar to the Mandelbrot percolation but with different probabilities.
Time: Monday, May 2, 2005 at 4:30 pm.
Location: THO 119
Speaker: Michael Taksar (University of Missouri)
Title: SINGULAR STOCHASTIC CONTROL AND RELATED PDE WITH GRADIENT CONSTRAINTS IN PORTFOLIO OPTIMIZATION MODELS IN MATHEMATICAL FINANCE
Abstract: In the modern mathematical finance the stock prices are modeled by stochastic differential equations, whose solutions produce logarithmic Brownian motions. This is the backbone of what is nowadays became the classical Black-Scholes option pricing theory and Merton's investment/consumption theory. We consider a dynamical portfolio optimization model in the spirit of the latter. The portfolio consists of several risky assets (Stocks) and one risk-free asset (Bond). The rate of return on Bond is constant while the rate of return of Stocks is governed by SDE of the logarithmic Brownian motion type. Funds can be transferred from one asset to another, however such transaction involves penalty (brokerage fees) proportional to the size of the transaction. The objective is to find the policy which maximizes the expected rate of growth of funds.The main mathematical tool in the solution of this problem is singular stochastic control theory. In this theory the control functionals are represented by processes of bounded variation, and the optimal control consists of functionals which reflect the process from an a priori unknown boundary. They are continuous but singular (not absolutely continuous) with respect to time. The analytical part of the solution to singular control is related to a free boundary problem for an elliptic PDE with gradient constraints, similar to the ones encountered in elastic-plastic torsion problems. The existence of the classical $C^2$ solution cannot be proved in general but one can show an existence of viscosity solution to this equation.
The optimal policy is to keep the vector of fractions of funds invested in different assets in an optimal (a priori unknown) boundary. We show how to find these boundaries explicitly in the case of one risky and one risk-free asset when the problem becomes one dimensional. In this case the free boundary problem can be reduced to a Stephan problem for an ODE.
Time: Thursday, April 21, 2005 at 2:30 pm.
Location: SAV 131
Speaker: Wlodzimierz Bryc (University of Cincinnati)
Title: QUADRATIC HARNESSES, Q-COMMUTATIONS, AND ORTHOGONAL MARTINGALE POLYNOMIALS
Abstract: Harnesses were introduced by Hammersley (1967) as random fields that model `long-range misorientation'. They were studied for example by Williams (1973), and recently by Mansuy-Yor (2005) who considered harnesses indexed by t>0 and defined them by a reverse-martingale condition for the normalized increments of the process.Quadratic harnesses are related to Hammersley-Manuy-Yor harnesses by mimicking the relation between the martingale and the quadratic martingale conditions. Examples of quadratic harnesses are the Poisson, Gamma, Pascal (negative binomial), and the Wiener process. Lesser known examples are Markov processes associated with certain free Levy processes, and with non-commutative q-Gaussian processes introduced in the physics literature by Frisch-Bourret (1970) and constructed rigorously by Bozejko-Kummerer-Speicher {1997}.
It is plausible that generic quadratic harnesses are in fact five-parameter Markov processes. The five parameters arise as the coefficients in the q-commutation equation for the Jacobi matrix of the associated orthogonal martingale polynomials, which exist under minimal assumptions. At present, constructions of the corresponding Markov transition probabilities are known only for special choices of these parameters, and explicit answers are even less frequent. One such explicit example of a two-parameter quadratic harness is obtained by appropriately re-scaling a certain non-homogeneous pure-birth Markov process that `explodes' at a deterministic moment of time, and then `returns back from infinity' as a pure-death process.
This talk is based on joint research with W. Matysiak and J. Wesolowski.
Time: Monday, April 18, 2005 at 2:30 pm.
Location: SMI 102
Speaker: Fausto Di Biase (Universit\`a `G.d'Annunzio', Pescara, Italy)
Title: THE STOLZ APPROACH IS SHARP, ISN'T IT?
Abstract: We consider the following question: how sharp is the Stolz approach region for the almost everywhere convergence of bounded harmonic functions in the unit disc in the plane or in NTA domains in $R^n$? The issue was first settled in the rotation invariant case in the unit disc by Littlewood in 1927 and later examined, under less stringent conditions, by Aikawa in 1991. We will present results that are, in a certain sense, sharp.A joint work in collaboration with A. Stokolos, O. Svensson and T. Weiss.
Time: Monday, April 11, 2005 at 2:30 pm.
Location: SMI 102
Speaker: Joan Lind (University of Washington)
Title: THE GEOMETRY OF THE LOEWNER EVOLUTION
Abstract: The Loewner differential equation provides a connection between continuous, real-valued functions (called driving terms) and families of domains in the complex plane (said to be generated by the driving term.) The recent interest in this 80-year-old equation is due to Oded Schramm's introduction of the SLE processes, which have allowed mathematicians to prove many results predicted by physicists as well as Mandelbrot's conjecture that the outer boundary of a planar Brownian path has Hausdorff dimension 4/3. I will discuss how the geometry of the generated domains is related to the driving function, both in the deterministic setting and for SLE.
Time: Monday, April 4, 2005 at 2:30 pm.
Location: SMI 102
Speaker: Julien Dub\'edat (Courant Institute, New York University)
Title: COMMUTATION OF SLE's
Abstract: Schramm-Loewner Evolutions (SLEs) have proved to be a powerful tool to describe the scaling limit of a conformally invariant simple curve. In several instances (percolation, uniform spanning tree ...), one can define in a discrete setting several simple curves. We will discuss questions pertaining to the joint law of these curves in the scaling limit.
Time: Tuesday, March 22, 2005 at 2:30 pm.
Location: PDL C-36
Speaker: Jason Swanson (University of Wisconsin)
Title: WEAK CONVERGENCE OF THE MEDIAN OF INDEPENDENT BROWNIAN MOTIONS
Abstract: In a model of Spitzer (1968) model, we begin with countably many particles distributed on the real line according to a Poisson distribution. Each particle then begins moving with a random velocity; these velocities are independent and have mean zero. The particles interact through elastic collisions: when particles meet, they exchange trajectories. We then choose a particular particle (the tagged particle) and let X(t) denotes its trajectory. Spitzer showed that, under a suitable rescaling of time and space, X(t) converges weakly to Brownian motion.Harris (1965) demonstrated a similar result: if the individual particles move according to Brownian motion, then X(t) converges to fractional Brownian motion. These results were generalized even further by D\"{u}rr, Goldstein, and Lebowitz in 1985.
All of these results rely heavily on the initial distribution of the particles. The initial Poisson distribution provides tractable computations in the models of Spitzer, Harris, and D\"{u}rr et al;
In this talk, I will outline the following result: the (scaled) median of independent Brownian motions converges to a centered Gaussian process whose covariance function can be written down explicitly. As with the other results, proving tightness is the chief difficulty. Unlike the other results, the initial distribution of the particles does not play a key role. Tightness is proved in this model by direct estimates on the median process itself. It is my hope that these techniques can be generalized and used to extend the current family of results to models with arbitrary initial particle distributions.
Time: Monday, March 7, 2005 at 2:30 pm.
Location: PDL C-401
Speaker: Roman Kotecky (Charles University, Prague, and Microsoft Research)
Title: BIRTH OF EQUILIBRIUM DROPLET
Abstract: We consider large deviations for Ising model in the phase coexistence region. The typical behavior, inside the coexistence region and far from its edge, is governed by droplet configurations. However, a new type of transition is experienced close to the edge of the coexistence. It stems from the competition between droplet contributions and supersaturated phase and leads to an abrupt occurrence of a droplet. Its proof needs a careful evaluation of typical configurations in different regimes. Main results will be explained and some idea of the proofs will be given without assuming any preliminary knowledge about the Ising model.The talk is based on joint papers with Marek Biskup and Lincoln Chayes as well as a recent work with Ostap Hryniv and Dima Ioffe.
Time: Monday, February 28, 2005 at 2:30 pm.
Location: THO 135
Speaker: Ryan O'Donnell (Microsoft Research)
Title: NOISE STABILITY OF BOOLEAN FUNCTIONS WITH LOW INFLUENCES
Abstract: Suppose we model a close election (such as Bush/Gore '00 or Gregoire/Rossi '04) by assuming n voters vote independently and 50-50 between two candidates, 0 and 1. An ``election scheme'' is a boolean function $f : \{0,1\}^n \to \{0,1\}$ mapping the votes to a winner; e.g., $f$ = Majority, or $f$ = Electoral College. Analyzing the properties of such functions is hampered by the fact that the trivial ``dictator'' schemes, $f(x_1, ..., x_n) = x_i$, are often extremal. It is thus both natural and desirable to restrict attention to $f$'s in which each voter has small ``influence''.We resolve two conjectures regarding functions with low influences: 1. The ``Majority Is Stablest'' conjecture from theoretical computer science, which states that if each vote is mis-recorded independently with probability epsilon (butterfly ballot? Diebold?) then Majority is the low-influence election scheme most likely to preserve the outcome. 2. The ``It Ain't Over Till It's Over'' conjecture from social choice in economics, which states that if a random 99\% of the votes are in (from Florida, say) then for any low-influence election scheme, the outcome is still overwhelmingly likely to be ``too close to call''.
This is joint work with Elchanan Mossel (Berkeley) and Krzysztof Oleszkiewicz (Warsaw).
Time: Tuesday, February 22, 2005 at 2:30 pm.
Location: SAV 311
Speaker: Dayue Chen (Peking University)
Title: THE ANCHORED EXPANSION CONSTANT OF RANDOM GRAPHS
Abstract: The anchored expansion constant is a variant of the Cheeger constant; its positivity implies positive lower speed for the simple random walk, as shown by Virag (2000). We prove that if $G$ has a positive anchored expansion constant then so does every infinite cluster of independent percolation with parameter $p$ sufficiently close to 1. We also show that positivity of the anchored expansion constant is preserved under a random stretch if, and only if, the stretching law has an exponential tail.This talk is based on my joint work with Yuval Peres and Gabor Pete of the University of California, Berkeley. The paper entitled ``Anchored Expansion, Percolation and Speed'' just appeared in the Annals of Probability.
Time: Monday, February 14, 2005 at 2:30 pm.
Location: THO 135
Speaker: Assaf Naor (Microsoft Research)
Title: MARKOV CHAINS IN METRIC SPACES AND THEIR APPLICATIONS TO METRIC GEOMETRY
Abstract: In this talk we will discuss the notion of Markov type: an important bi-Lipschitz invariant of metric spaces which was introduced by K. Ball. This invariant measures the affect of the geometry of a metric space $X$ on the speed of certain Markov chains taking values in $X$. We will describe some of the applications of Markov type, and proceed to present a proof of the recent solution of Ball's Markov type 2 problem, showing that $L_p, p>2$, has Markov type 2. This result completes the work of Ball and settles a conjecture of Johnson and Lindestrauss from 1992 by showing that every Lipschitz function defined on a subset of $L_p, p>2$, with values in $L_q, 1 < q <2$, extends to a Lipschitz function defined on all of $L_p$.Based on joint work with Yuval Peres, Oded Schramm and Scott Sheffield.
Time: Monday, February 7, 2005 at 2:30 pm.
Location: THO 135
Speaker: Uriel Feige (Weizmann Institute and Microsoft Research)
Title: ON SUMS OF INDEPENDENT RANDOM VARIABLES
Abstract: We prove the following inequality: for every positive integer $n$ and every collection $X_1, \ldots, X_n$ of nonnegative independent random variables that each has expectation~1, the probability that their sum remains below $n+1$ is at least $\alpha > 0$. Our proof produces a value of $\alpha = 1/13 \simeq 0.077$, but we conjecture that the inequality also holds with $\alpha = 1/e \simeq 0.368$.
Time: Monday, January 31, 2005 at 2:30 pm.
Location: THO 135
Speaker: Richard Bass (University of Connecticut)
Title: RENORMALIZED SELF-INTERSECTION LOCAL TIME AND THE RANGE OF RANDOM WALKS
Abstract: Self-intersection local time $\beta_t$ is a measure of how often a Brownian motion (or other process) crosses itself. Since Brownian motion in the plane intersects itself so often, a renormalization is needed in order to get something finite. LeGall proved that $E e^{\gamma \beta_1}$ is finite for small $\gamma$ and infinite for large $\gamma$. It turns out that the critical value is related to the best constant in a Gagliardo-Nirenberg inequality. I will discuss this result (joint work with Xia Chen) as well as large deviations for $\beta_1$ and $-\beta_1$ and LILs for $\beta_t$ and $-\beta_t$. The range of random walks is closely related to self-intersection local times, and I will also discuss joint work with Jay Rosen making this idea precise.
Time: Tuesday, January 25, 2005 at 12:30 pm.
Location: MOR 219
Speaker: Bruce Erickson (University of Washington)
Title: FINITENESS OF INTEGRALS OF FUNCTIONS OF LEVY PROCESSES
Abstract: We determine necessary and sufficient conditions under which various integrals of functions of the supremum absolute value of a Levy process are finite. The conditions are expressed analytically in terms of the canonical Levy measure of the process. An application of some of these results leads to an interesting local (small time) comparison of the above mentioned supremum process with the supremum absolute jump process.This is a brief report on some work in progress with R. Maller.
Time: Wednesday, January 12, 2005 at 3:30 pm.
Location: Padelford C-36
Speaker: Krzysztof Burdzy (University of Washington)
Title: THE ROBIN PROBLEM AND RAY-KNIGHT THEOREM
Abstract: The ``Robin problem'' or the ``third boundary problem'' is a mathematical model for the flow of a substance (or heat) out of a domain through a semi-permeable membrane. I will address the question of when the concentration of the substance (or the temperature) is bounded below by a constant over the whole domain. The argument is based in part on a very non-trivial (although old) result known as "Ray-Knight theorem". It describes the distribution of the local time of Brownian motion as a function of the space variable.
Time: Monday, Dec 6, 2004 at 2:30 pm.
Location: PDL C-401
Speaker: David Wilson (Microsoft Research)
Title: BALANCED BOOLEAN FUNCTIONS THAT CAN BE EVALUATED SO THAT EVERY INPUT BIT IS UNLIKELY TO BE READ
Abstract: A Boolean function of n bits is balanced if it takes the value 1 with probability 1/2. We exhibit a balanced Boolean function with a randomized evaluation procedure (with probability 0 of making a mistake) so that on uniformly random inputs, no input bit is read with probability more than $\Theta(n^{-1/2} \sqrt{\log n})$. We give a balanced monotone Boolean function for which the corresponding probability is $\Theta(n^{-1/3} \log n)$. We then show that for any randomized algorithm for evaluating a balanced Boolean function, when the input bits are uniformly random, there is some input bit that is read with probability at least $\Theta(n^{-1/2})$. For balanced monotone Boolean functions, there is some input bit that is read with probability at least $\Theta(n^{-1/3})$.Joint work with Itai Benjamini and Oded Schramm.
Time: Monday, Nov. 29, 2004 at 2:30 pm.
Location: PDL C-401
Speaker: David White (University of Washington)
Title: INTERACTIONS OF A BROWNIAN PARTICLE AND AN INERT PARTICLE
Abstract: Frank Knight recently introduced a model for the motion of an inert particle that is impinged on one side by a Brownian particle. Interesting behavior can result when the two types of particles are combined in different configurations. We describe the stochastic process resulting from these interactions for a few possible configurations.
Time: Monday, Nov. 15 and Monday, Nov. 22, 2004 at 2:30 pm.
Location: PDL C-401
Speaker: Charles J. Geyer (University of Minnesota)
Title: PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS USING NELSON-STYLE NONSTANDARD ANALYSIS (parts I and II)
Abstract: Edward Nelson's book Radically Elementary Probability Theory shows how to `radically' simplify both nonstandard analysis (NSA) and probability theory. In this approach all sample spaces are finite and all nonempty events have nonzero probability. So all nontrivial collections of random variables are finite. We have only with finite sequences of random variables, stochastic processes with finite carriers, etc. This eliminates any need for measure theory. Nevertheless, infinitesimal and unlimited numbers allow analogs of phenomena of conventional probability theory, such as continuous random variables, laws of large numbers, central limit theorems, invariance principles, and Brownian motion.In part I (Nov 15) we will introduce Nelson's `radically elementary' version of NSA, which is simple enough to teach to undergraduates, and using de Finetti's theorem as an example, show how this approach can greatly simplify probabilistic reasoning. We also start a survey of the definitions and main results of Nelson's book.
In part II (Nov 22) we will discuss some of our work: weak convergence in metric spaces, the portmanteau theorem, the continuous mapping theorem, the Glivenko-Cantelli theorem, Prohorov metric strong consistency of the empirical process, spatial point processes (redone Nelson-style).
Time: Monday, Nov. 8, 2004 at 2:30 pm.
Location: PDL C-401
Speaker: Benjamin Morris (Indiana University and Microsoft Research)
Title: THE MIXING TIME FOR THE THORP SHUFFLE
Abstract: In 1973, Thorp introduced the following card shuffling procedure. Cut the deck into two equal piles. Drop the first card from the left pile or the right pile according to the outcome of a fair coin flip; then drop from the other pile. Continue this way, flipping an independent coin each time, until both piles are empty.Despite its simple description, the Thorp shuffle has been hard to analyze. It has long been believed that the mixing time is polynomial in log of the number of cards. We prove the first such bound.
Time: Monday, Nov. 1, 2004 at 2:30 pm.
Location: PDL C-401
Speaker: Chris Hoffman (University of Washington)
Title: HOW WELL CAN WE PREDICT A NEAREST NEIGHBOR PROCESS?
Abstract: We consider the class of integer valued nearest neighbor processes. These are the processes $S(t)$ such that for all $t$ $|S(t)-S(t+1)|=1$ a.s. In this problem we are given the past $S(0),S(-1),...$ and we try to predict $S(k)$. We want to bound the maximum probability that we predict correctly. Define $$v(k)=\sup_{n,S(0),S(-1),S(-2),\dots} P(S(0)-S(k)=n|S(0),S(-1),S(-2),\dots).$$ We will show that for any decreasing sequence $f(k)$ such that $\sum_{k=1}^{\infty}f(k)=\infty$ there does not exist a nearest neighbor process such that $$v(k)<{1\over kf(k)}$$ for all $k$ and that this condition is tight. We will also talk about how this problem relates to random walks on percolation clusters.
Time: Monday, Oct 18, 2004 at 2:30 pm.
Location: PDL C-401
Speaker: Zhenqing Chen (University of Washington)
Title: EIGENVALUES FOR SUBORDINATE PROCESSES IN DOMAINS
Abstract: Abstract: When studying spectral properties for nonlocal operator in domains, one often faces many new challenges. For example, in contrast to the Laplace operator case, even the first eigenvalue for 1-dimensional fractional Laplace operator in unit interval is not explicitly known. In this talk, we will show that it is possible to obtain two-sided eigenvalue estimates for fractional Laplacian in terms of the eigenvalues of the Dirichlet Laplacian in the domain. In fact, the above result holds more generally, with Laplacian being replaced by a self-adjoint operator $L$ that is the generator of a strong Markov process, and the fractional Laplacian being replaced by $-\phi (-L)$, where $\phi$ is the Laplace exponent of a subordinator. We further show that the eigenvalues of $\phi (-L)$ in a domain with Dirichlet exterior condition depends continuously on $\phi$. This talk is based on joint work with R. Song.
Time: Monday, Oct 11, 2004 at 2:30 pm.
Location: PDL C-401
Speaker: Nati Linial (Hebrew University of Jerusalem and Microsoft)
Title: RANDOM LIFTS OF GRAPHS AND WHAT THEY ARE GOOD FOR
Abstract:
Time: Monday, Oct 11, 2004 at 2:30 pm.
Location: PDL C-401
Speaker: Nati Linial (Hebrew University of Jerusalem and Microsoft)
Title: RANDOM LIFTS OF GRAPHS AND WHAT THEY ARE GOOD FOR
Abstract: The most thoroughly studied random graph model is the classical Erd\"os-Renyi G(n,p) model where edges are placed independently and with probability p between any pair from among n vertices. There is a strong feeling in many parts of discrete mathematics that this is not enough, and new models for random graphs are needed. The quest for new models often comes from a desire to depict some physical phenomena, or just to understand the typical behavior of a certain family of graphs. Random lifts are a new class of random graphs, and the chief reason for introducing them was the hope to construct graphs with special desired properties, which existing methods seem unable to achieve. Our research into these graphs has revealed lots of beautiful phenomena and raised new intriguing problems. However, only recently did it become possible to use Random Lifts to construct graphs "by design" i.e., graphs with some desired extremal properties. Specifically, they were utilized to explicitly construct graphs with very good spectral properties ("Quasi-Ramanujan" graphs). In this talk I will explain what random lifts are. I will also survey the main known results and some of the open problems.
Time: Monday, October 4, 2004 at 2:30 pm.
Location: PDL C-36
Speaker: Krzysztof Burdzy (University of Washington)
Title: LENSES IN SKEW BROWNIAN MOTION`
Abstract: Skew Brownian motion is a version of Brownian motion which makes more positive excursions from 0 than negative excursions (or vice versa). I will discuss a stochastic flow of skew Brownian motions, i.e., a family of skew Brownian motions driven by the same ``noise.'' Individual processes in the flow have a tendency to coalesce so this leads to a number of questions about the topological and stochastic nature of the flow. Lenses are pairs of distinct processes in the flow that start from the same point, diverge, and then converge.
Time: Thursday, August 26, 2004 at 3:00 pm.
Location: PDL C-36
Speaker: Wojbor A. Woyczynski (Case Western Reserve University)
Title: Critical nonlinearity exponent for Levy conservation laws
Abstract: Behavior of solutions of nonlinear evolutions of the form u_t=Lu-\nabla Nu, where L is a linear diffusive operator and N is a nonlinear operator depends on the interaqction and relative strength of L and N. In the case when L is an infinitesimal generator of a Levy process there is a critical nonlinearity which causes the asymptotic behavior of all solutions to be like the asymptotic behavior of special selfsimilar solutions. Statistical implications of this facts are indicated.
Time: Thursday, May 27, 2004 at 2:30 pm.
Location: THO 331
Speaker: Richard Sowers (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign)
Title: Random Perturbations of Pseudoperiodic Flows
Abstract: Arnol'd in 1991 characterized ``pseudoperiodic'' flows on the 2-dimensional torus. We consider small random perturbations of such flows. Under appropriate scaling of time, we search for an averaged picture which describes the evolution of local ``energies''. Under certain circumstances, we identify a certain limiting Markov process with glueing conditions (as suggested by Freidlin in 1996) which characterizes energy evolution.
Time: Monday, May 24, 2004 at 2:30 pm.
Location: THO 125
Speaker: Zoran Vondracek (University of Zagreb, Croatia)
Title: Ruin Probabilities for General Perturbed Risk Processes
Abstract: We study a general perturbed risk process with cumulative claims modeled by a subordinator with finite expectation, and the perturbation being a spectrally negative Levy process with zero expectation. We derive a Pollaczek-Hinchin type formula for the survival probability of that risk process, and give an interpretation of the formula based on the decomposition of the dual risk process at modified ladder epochs. We also give a formula that the ruin will occur by a jump of the subordinator.
Notice the different time and location
Time: Tuesday, May 18, 2004 at 2:30 pm.
Location: THO 331
Speaker: Renming Song (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign)
Title: Potential Theory of Geometric Stable Processes
Abstract: Geometric stable processes form a special class of Levy processes. Geometric stable processes are very useful in modeling heavy-tailed phenomena and have been used by various researchers in option pricing. In this talk we will present some recent results on the potential theory of geometric stable processes. In particular, we will talk about asymptotic behaviors of the Green function and jumping functions of geometric stable processes, and estimates on the capacities of small balls with respect to geometric stable processes. We also show that the Harnack inequality is valid for positive harmonic functions of geometric stable processes.
Time: Monday, May 10, 2004 at 2:30 pm.
Location: THO 125
Speaker: Chris Hoffman (University of Washington)
Title: Coexistence for Richardson Type Competing Spatial Growth Models
Abstract: In the Richardson growth model the vertices in Z^d can take on three possible states 0,1, and 2. Vertices in states 1 and 2 remain in their states forever, while vertices in state 0 which are adjacent to a vertex in state 1 (or state 2) can switch to state 1 (or state 2). We think of the vertices in states 1 and 2 as infected with one of two infections while the vertices in state 0 are considered uninfected. We start the models with a single vertex in state 1 and a single vertex is in state 2. We show that with positive probability state 1 reaches an infinite number of vertices and state 2 also reaches an infinite number of vertices. The key tool is applying the ergodic theorem to stationary first passage percolation.
Time: Monday, May 3, 2004 at 2:30 pm.
Location: THO 125
Speaker: Tadeusz Kulczycki (Wroclaw Technical University, visiting Purdue University)
Title: The Cauchy Process and the Steklov Problem
Abstract: Let $X_t$ be the Cauchy process in $R^d$. We investigate some of the fine properties of the semigroup of this process killed upon leaving a domain $D$. We establish a connection between the semigroup of this process and a mixed boundary value problem for the Laplacian in one dimension higher, known as the "Mixed Steklov Problem". Using this we derive a variational characterization for the eigenvalues of the Cauchy process in $D$. This characterization leads to many detailed properties of the eigenvalues and eigenfunctions for the Cauchy process inspired by those for the Brownian motion. The results are new even in the simplest geometric setting of the interval $D=(-1,1)$ where we obtain more precise information on the size of the second eigenvalue and on the geometry of the corresponding eigenfunction.
Time: Monday, April 26, 2004 at 2:30 pm.
Location: THO 125
Speaker: Gordon Slade (University of British Columbia, Visiting Microsoft)
Title: The phase transition for random subgraphs of the n-cube
Abstract: We describe recent results, obtained in collaboration with C. Borg, J. T. Chayes, R. van der Hofstad and J. Spencer, which provide a detailed description of the phase transition for random subgraphs of the n-cube.
Time: Monday, April 19, 2004 at 2:30 pm.
Location: THO 125
Speaker: Jason Swanson (UW)
Title: The Signed Variations of the Solution to a Stochastic Heat Equation
Abstract: We will consider the solution to a certain stochastic heat equation. This solution is a random function of time and space. For a fixed point in space, the resulting random function of time (call it $F(t)$) has the same local behavior as a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H=1/4$. (Roughly speaking, this means that, almost surely, the function $F(t)$ is H\"{o}lder continuous with index $\alpha$ for all $\alpha<1/4$, but not for $\alpha\ge1/4$.) The function $F(t)$, therefore, has an infinite quadratic variation and, hence, is not a semimartingale. It follows then that the classical Ito calculus does not apply to $F(t)$.
Heuristic ideas about a possible new calculus for this process will be presented. These heuristics lead us in a natural way to define and study what will be called the ``signed" quadratic variation of $F(t)$. The main result to be presented is that, although the traditional quadratic variation of $F(t)$ is infinite, the signed quadratic variation converges to a Brownian motion.
Time: Monday, April 5, 2004 at 2:30 pm.
Location: THO 125
Speaker: Paul Shields
Title: Two New Methods of Markov Order Estimation
Abstract: Given an ergodic finite state Markov chain of unknown order K, the goal is to make an estimate k(n) of K from observation of a sample path of length n, such that k(n) is eventually almost sure equal to K. An important and widely used estimation method is Schwarz's BIC, which is based on Bayesian ideas. Recently, in joint work with Csiszar, BIC consistency was established without the usual prior bound assumption. The proof, however, is quite complex. I will discuss two new methods that are simple to describe, require no prior order bound, involve less computation than the BIC, and whose consistency proofs use only classical probability and information theory concepts. The first method focuses on maximum fluctuations of empirical conditional probabilities of order k over slowly growing intervals of values of k. The second method compares empirical conditional entropy of order k with an auxiliary, upwardly biased, entropy estimator. In both cases, the focused quantities have, eventually almost surely, a qualitative change in behaviour for the first time at the place where $k=K$. Extensions to random fields and to hidden Markov chains will also be discussed. (This is joint work with Yuval Peres.)
Time: Wednesday, March 24, 2004 at 2:30 pm.
Location: PDL C-36
Speaker: Marek Biskup (UCLA)
Title: Graph Distance in Long-range Percolation
Abstract: In 1967, using an ingenious sociological experiment, S. Milgram studied the length of acquaintance chains between "geometrically distant" individuals. The results led him to the famous conclusion that average two Americans are about six acquaintances (or "six handshakes") away from each other. We will model the situation in terms of long-range percolation on Zd, where the nearest neighbor bonds represent the acquaintances due to geometric proximity -- people living in the house next door -- while long bonds are acquaintances established by other means -- e.g., friends from college. The question is: What is the minimal number of bonds one needs to traverse to get from site x to site y.Thus, in addition to the usual connections between nearest neighbors on Zd, any two sites x,y in Zd at Euclidean distance |x-y| will be connected by an occupied bond independently with probability proportional to |x-y|-s, where s>0 is a parameter. Using D(x,y) to denote the length of the shortest occupied path between x and y, the main question boils down to the asymptotic scaling of D(x,y) as |x-y| tends to infinity. I will discuss a variety of possible behaviors and mention known results and open problems. Then I will sketch the proof of the fact that, when s in the interval (d,2d), the distance D(x,y) scales like (log|x-y|)Delta, where Delta-1 is the binary logarithm of 2d/s.
SPECIAL COLLOQUIUM/PROBABILITY SEMINAR
Time: Tuesday, March 16, 2004 at 2:30 pm.
Location: SMI 205
Speaker: Wendelin Werner (Universite Paris-Sud)
Title: CONFORMAL FIELD THEORY VIA BROWNIAN LOOP SOUP
Abstract: We will (briefly) show how to relate Schramm-Loewner Evolutions and to define Conformal Field Theories using the Brownian loop-soup, a random conformally invariant countable family of overlapping Brownian loops in a domain that we introduced in a joint paper with Greg Lawler.
Time: Monday, March 8, 2004 at 2:30 pm.
Location: LOW 217
Speaker: Fadoua Balabdaoui (University of Washington)
Title: NONPARAMETRIC ESTIMATION OF A $K$-MONOTONE DENSITY ASYMPTOTIC DISTRIBUTION THEORY
Abstract: Let $k \geq 1$ be an integer. We consider nonparametric estimation of a $k$-monotone density on $(0,\infty)$ via the methods of Maximum Likelihood and Least Squares. Under the assumption that at a fixed point $x_0 > 0$, the true density $g_0$ satisfies $g^{(k)}_0(x_0) \ne 0$, we establish asymptotic minimax lower bounds for estimation of the $j$-th derivative of $g_0$ for $j=0, \cdots, k-1$. These bounds show that the rates of convergence of any estimator of $g^{(j)}_0(x_0)$ can be {\it at most} $n^{-(k-j)/(2k+1)}$. Furthermore, we are close to proving that the ML and LS estimators, $\hat{g}_n$ and $\tilde{g}_n$, achieve these rates, and that the limiting distributions depend on smooth stochastic processes $H_k$ that stay above (or below) $Y_k$, the $(k-1)$-fold integral of two-sided Brownian motion + $\left(k!/(2k)!\right) t^{2k}, t \in {\bf R}$ when $k$ is even (or odd). The key remaining difficulty for $k > 2$ consists in showing that the distance between two successive jump points $\tau^{-}_n$ and $\tau^{+}_n$ of $\hat{g}^{(k-1)}_n$ or $\tilde{g}^{(k-1)}_n$ (in the neighborhood of $x_0$) is $O_p(n^{-1/(2k+1)})$ as $n \to \infty$. Similarly, if $H_{k,c}$ denotes the envelope (or the \lq\lq invelope\rq\rq) of $Y_k$ when $k$ is odd (or even) on $\lbrack -c,c \rbrack$, $c > 0 $, it remains to prove that the distance between two successive points of touch $\tau^{-}_c$ and $\tau^{+}_c$, before and after a point $-c < t < c$, between the processes $H_{k,c}$ and $Y_k$ is $O_p(1)$ as $c \to \infty$. Several numerical examples will be shown to illustrate the theoretical results and conjectures. For that, we will introduce a $(2k-1)$-th iterative spline algorithm developed to compute the ML and LS estimators, and to obtain an approximation of the process $H_k$ on $\lbrack -c,c \rbrack $.
Joint work with Jon Wellner.
Time: Monday, March 1, 2004 at 2:30 pm.
Location: LOW 217
Speaker: Martin Barlow (University of British Columbia)
Title: RANDOM WALKS ON CRITICAL PERCOLATION CLUSTERS
Abstract: It is now known that random walks on supercritical ($p>p_c$) percolation clusters in $Z^2$ behave in many ways like the simple random walk on $Z^d$. The critical case ($p=p_c$) is much harder. One needs to consider the ``incipient infinite cluster''; in the cases where this has been defined it has a fractal structure. The easiest case is that of trees; this was studied by Kesten in 1986, but we can now revisit this problem with new techniques.
This is a joint Math Department Colloquium and Probability Seminar Talk
Time: Monday, February 23, 2004 at 2:30 pm.
Location: LOW 217
Speaker: Masatoshi Fukushima (Kansai University)
Title: POISSON POINT PROCESSES ATTACHED TO SYMMETRIC DIFFUSIONS
Abstract: Let $a$ be a non-isolated point of a topological space $S$ and $X^0$ be a symmetric diffusion on the complementary set $S_0$ which approaches to $a$ in finite time before killing with positive probability. By making use of Poisson point processes taking values in the spaces of excursions around $a$ whose characteristic measures are uniquely determined by $X^0$, we construct a symmetric diffusion on $S$ with no killing inside $S$ which extends $X^0$ on $S_0.$ We also prove that such an extension is unique in law and its resolvent and Dirichlet form admit explicit expressions in terms of $X^0.$
Time: Monday, February 9, 2004 at 2:30 pm.
Location: LOW 217
Speaker: Tilmann Gneiting (University of Washington)
Title: CONVOLUTION ROOTS OF COMPACTLY SUPPORTED RADIAL POSITIVE DEFINITE FUNCTIONS
Abstract: A classical theorem of Boas, Kac, and Krein states that a characteristic function $\varphi$ with $\varphi(x) = 0$ for $|x| \geq \tau$ admits a representation of the form $$ \varphi(x) = \int u(y) \overline{u(y+x)} dy, x \in \real $$ where $u \in L_2(\real)$ is complex-valued with $u(x) = 0$ for $|x| \geq \tau/2$. The result can be expressed equivalently as a factorization theorem for entire functions of finite exponential type. This talk examines the Boas-Kac representation under additional constraints: If $\varphi$ is real-valued and even, can the convolution root $u$ be chosen as a real-valued and/or even function?
A complete answer in terms of the zeros of the Fourier transform of $\varphi$ is obtained. Furthermore, the analogous problem for radially symmetric functions is solved. Perhaps surprisingly, there are compactly supported, radial positive definite functions that do not admit a convolution root with half support. Related results include pointwise and integral bounds on compactly supported positive definite functions and the solution to an associated minimization problem. Applications to spatial moving average processes, geostatistical simulation, crystallography, optics, and phase retrieval are noted.
This is joint work with Werner Ehm and Donald Richards.
Time: Monday, February 2, 2004 at 2:30 pm.
Location: LOW 217
Speaker: David Galvin (Microsoft Research)
Title: THE ``ENTROPY METHOD'' IN COMBINATORICS
Abstract: The binary entropy of a finite-range uniform random variable is exactly the log of the size of the range space. For this reason, entropy methods have become quite popular recently for tackling certain enumerative problems in combinatorics---any bounds that can be put on the entropy of a uniformly chosen member of a set correspond immediately to bounds on the size of the set.
In this talk I will introduce an entropy inequality due to J. B. Shearer that is proving to be a powerful tool in this direction. I will give two applications. The first is a swift entropy proof of an old result of Loomis and Watson, bounding the volume of a body in $R^d$ in terms the volumes of its $(d-1)$-dimensional projections. The second is a recent result (joint with P. Tetali of Georgia Tech) giving a tight upper bound on the number of graph homomorphisms from a regular bipartite graph to any fixed constraint graph.
Time: Monday, January 26, 2004 at 2:30 pm.
Location: LOW 217
Speaker: D. Brian Walton (University of Washington)
Title: HIDDEN MARKOV MODELS AND SINGLE-MOLECULE MOTOR PROTEIN EXPERIMENTS
Abstract: Motor proteins convert chemical energy into directed mechanical motion, often along filamentary tracks. This talk will introduce a particular motor protein, kinesin, which converts the energy released from ATP hydrolysis into moti